- New York Red Bulls have only won one, drawn two and lost three of their six home matches in all competitions.
- Orlando City SC have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches.
- Martin Ojeda has scored 11 goals in 15 MLS 2026 appearances, more than any other member of the Orlando City SC squad.
Red Bulls and Lions meet in intriguing match
New York Red Bulls come into this match as the slight favourites at 9/10, but Orlando City SC are a decent 11/5 and the draw is worth a look at 33/10 because the form of both clubs suggests this should be a tight fixture. The hosts have been the worse of the two sides with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five outings.
The Red Bulls have lost their last two matches, going down 3-0 at Philadelphia Union before that and then 0-2 at home to Charlotte FC. Ibrahim Sekagya has been trying to get the Red Bulls to keep their usual high-tempo, intense style, but with more possession control, which is tough to do.
Orlando City SC have been a much sharper outfit, with six wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 10 matches in all competitions. They have been more width-driven in their approach, which allows them to adapt their formation from 4-3-3 to 4-2-3-1 without losing their shape and they use their full-backs and speedier players to get between the lines and cut open defences.
Orlando can be ruthless in transition
They lost 6-2 at FC Cincinnati a couple of weeks ago, but bounced back in style with a 4-0 away win at San Jose Earthquakes. That swing in results suggests they can be chaotic or clinical at the flick of a switch and Orlando will look to run at New York Red Bulls on Saturday.
Martín Perelman has done a great job since taking over as manager on 12 March 2026, adding a bit more directness to an attack that still keeps its shape and Orlando can score goals on the road - 2.67 per match. New York Red Bulls are averaging 1.50 goals per home match while conceding 2.33, so it should be a game of open doors.
A better alternative to the underdog price on Orlando City SC is to back over 2.5 goals at 3/10 or both teams to score at 3/10 as both defences have been leaking goals. New York Red Bulls are narrow and want to press in the centre to create turnovers, but Orlando can hurt them in transition with Martin Ojeda their danger man. The Lions have a good chance to win this match, but we're taking the odds-on home side to just edge it at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
