- Toronto have failed to win their last 5 matches, with their last 2 games ending all square.
- NYCFC have won the last 5 meetings, including a 3-1 home win in MLS 2025.
Tough trip for Toronto FC
13th-placed New York City FC have accumulated 22 points from 16 matches in MLS 2026 and they face off against 26th-placed Toronto FC, who have collected just 16 points in the same number of fixtures, at Yankee Stadium, USA.
The Reds have drawn their last 2 away games 0-0, but that could just be an indication of how tough they can be to break down when they're compact, aggressive and running at teams in transition.
However, they've won none of their last 5 MLS games, registering 2 draws and 3 defeats, so there's every reason to fancy the home side in this one.
Pascal Jansen's NYCFC team like to control the game with the ball and create numerical advantages out wide to create chances, with Nicolas Fernandez the main man in the squad.
The Argentine has 11 goals in 16 MLS 2026 appearances, 3 of which have come in NYCFC's last 5 games. The hosts have a mixed record in that time (W2, D1, L2), but have been scoring goals, so we're good for at least a few on Friday.
Hosts are the value
Toronto have the tools to play a high-energy pressing game and they have some momentum. But the head-to-head record heavily favours NYCFC and Toronto haven't won either of their last 2 visits to this stadium, so it would be wise to take them on the road. Toronto have scored just 5 goals in 7 away games in MLS 2026, so we're leaning towards a home victory, but the visitors can keep this one feisty if they land the first blow and we may get goals at both ends. NYCFC are averaging 2.38 goals per game at home in MLS 2026, having scored 19 in 8 matches, so Over 2.5 goals at 3/4 and Both Teams To Score at 18/25 both appeal here.
