- Team form: Orlando City SC's recent form reads 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last five matches.
- Opponents form: New York Red Bulls are on a two-game losing streak, 3-0 at Philadelphia Union and 0-2 at home to Charlotte FC.
- Away record: Orlando City SC's away record in league and cups stands at 3 wins and 3 defeats, although their attack has travelled well, averaging 2.67 goals per away match.
Red Bulls have slipped in recent weeks
Odds and form:
New York Red Bulls are favored at 1.9 to see off Orlando City SC at Sports Illustrated Stadium on Saturday, but the odds seem a bit on the short side given the visitors have been the sharper side in recent matches. Ibrahim Sekagya's side have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last 10 matches in all competitions, so this is not just a wobble.
Playing style and home record:
The Red Bulls usually play a high-tempo game from a narrow base, either in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 system, but they have been unable to generate the same intensity in the early days of 2026.
Their best result during this time was the 1-0 win at Sporting Kansas City, suggesting they can still nick a result on the road, but they have won only one, drawn two and lost three of their six home games in all competitions – a shaky base for favourites.
Orlando City could cause an upset
In contrast, Orlando City have been in excellent form since MartĂn Perelman took charge on 12 March 2026, but they remain capable of a wild game of chess with a ruthless edge. He has added a little more directness and attack to what was already a busy and flexible side in terms of personnel.
Orlando's away form in all competitions is mixed, but they have scored enough goals to suggest they can get on the scoresheet again.
- Orlando are more width-oriented than their opponents and will try to spread the game while using their full backs and quick, vertical combinations to break lines.
- Martin Ojeda, who is leading their goal-scoring charts with 11 strikes in 15 MLS 2026 appearances, is always a threat to score or create.
- The Lions bounced back from a 6-2 away loss to FC Cincinnati with a 4-0 road win over San Jose Earthquakes and have demonstrated the capacity to be clinical when they need to be.
Tight game expected
The odds are certainly on the Red Bulls edge, but Orlando's recent results don't suggest this is going to be a walkover.
The hosts are scoring 1.50 and conceding 2.33 goals per home match in all competitions, which suggests an open game with chances at both ends.
Orlando are conceding 2.83 goals per away match in all competitions, so there is a good chance the visitors can be dragged into a shootout. Over 2.5 goals at 1.3 and both teams to score at 1.3 seem the best ways to play this game as the difference between the sides may only be marginal.
