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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
AFC Ajax logo
19:33:24
10.10, 14:00
NEC Nijmegen logo
  • -303
  • X
    +520
  • +780
Eredivisie
Netherlands
/
Eredivisie
/
Johan Cruijff ArenA

vs
Tips, Stats and Odds

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AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Predictions

  • Team form: Ajax are 5th in Eredivisie 2026/2027 with 14 points from seven games, while 11th-placed NEC (8 points) sit in the table.
  • Away form: NEC have won two and lost just one of their three away league games in 2026-2027, scoring 2.33 goals per game and conceding 1.67.
  • Recent results: Míchel's men have won three of their last five games, drawing one and losing one, while NEC have failed to win in any of their last five (D2, L3).

Ajax are looking to control proceedings

Match outlook

A game between Ajax and NEC usually produces a game in which the latter refuses to back down, and Saturday's clash at Johan Cruijff ArenA could go either way, with the hosts priced at 1.3 favorites ahead of their visitors at 7.9 and the tie at 5.8.

Playing styles

Míchel has overseen a clear development in Ajax's playing style since taking the helm on 30 June 2026 and they have been a possession-based 4-3-3 team that are all about control when playing their best. They set up in a way to overload the half-spaces with their inverted full-backs, but they are still able to produce an attacking flair, with Julian Brandt the danger man with four goals in seven Eredivisie 2026/2027 games.

NEC Nijmegen are a completely different beast under Dick Schreuder, who has led the club since 1 July 2025. He plays a very aggressive 3-4-2-1 with wing-backs, and will encourage his players to be fearless in trying to get forward, regardless of the situation, while the press is also very aggressive.

NEC’s verticality will make this a lively game

That contrast between a team built on control and one that embraces chaos should lead to a very open game, but Ajax have the quality and structure to control it better than their visitors.

However, the hosts have failed to beat NEC in their last three home games, and two of those ended level.

So, while we are taking the home side to win this one, the recent H2H history of draws and NEC's positive road performance in 2026-2027 makes the draw look very possible.

But given the odds available, the best play is on the home team to come away with the points.

NEC have had a tough last few weeks, coming into this game after a 3-0 loss away to Cambuur, a 5-0 hammering by Juventus in the UEFA Europa League, and a 1-1 home tie with Go Ahead Eagles.

But de Godenzonen have come through with three results of real swagger since then – a 5-1 away win at Fortuna Sittard, a 5-1 home thrashing of Willem II, and a 2-2 tie with Excelsior.

NEC's Tjaronn Chery is a similar spark to Brandt with three Eredivisie 2026/2027 goals in one fewer game.

  • Over 2.5 goals, which is priced at 1.3.
  • Both teams to score, which is 1.55.
  • The draw at 5.8.
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Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.31
    1X2
    AFC Ajax
    Open
    Explanation
    • AFC Ajax averages 3.0 scored goals per match this Eredivisie season, giving them clear attacking edge.
    • In their last 5 matches AFC Ajax has three wins and big scores (5-1, 5-1, 4-0), showing strong form.
    • In head-to-head four of the last five meetings were draws or a AFC Ajax win, including two home draws (1-1,2-2).
  • Tipped at
    1.26
    Over/Under
    Over 2.5
    Open
    Explanation
    • Matches involving AFC Ajax average 4.29 total goals this Eredivisie season, well above the 2.5 line.
    • When at home AFC Ajax sees 4.5 combined goals per match in league play, favoring high-scoring games.
    • NEC Nijmegen's away games average 4.0 total goals this season and recent results include 0-5 and 2-2.
  • Tipped at
    1.53
    Both Teams To Score
    Yes
    Open
    Explanation
    • AFC Ajax's matches have seen both teams score in 71.43% of cases this season and 100.0% at home.
    • NEC Nijmegen records BTTS in 85.71% of their matches overall and 66.67% of their away games, supporting goals each side.
    • Four of AFC Ajax's last five games featured goals at both ends (2-2,5-1,5-1,1-3), showing consistent mutual scoring.

Odds

1X2
Bookmakers
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  • Draw
  • Away
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AFC Ajax logo

Last 24 H2H matches

  • 16
    Won
  • 7
    Draw
  • 1
    Won
NEC Nijmegen logo

Last Matches

  • Feb 21 2026
    Eredivisie
    NEC Nijmegen logo
    AFC Ajax
    1
    NEC Nijmegen logo
    NEC Nijmegen
    1
  • Dec 20 2025
    Eredivisie
    AFC Ajax logo
    NEC Nijmegen
    2
    AFC Ajax logo
    AFC Ajax
    2
  • May 11 2025
    Eredivisie
    NEC Nijmegen logo
    AFC Ajax
    0
    NEC Nijmegen logo
    NEC Nijmegen
    3
  • Dec 01 2024
    Eredivisie
    AFC Ajax logo
    NEC Nijmegen
    1
    AFC Ajax logo
    AFC Ajax
    2
  • Feb 18 2024
    Eredivisie
    NEC Nijmegen logo
    AFC Ajax
    2
    NEC Nijmegen logo
    NEC Nijmegen
    2

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Eredivisie Matches

Match Facts

  • What bookmaker offers the best AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Match Winner Odds?

    The highest Match Winner Odds for AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen are the following: AFC Ajax to win - 1.34 from Novibet, Draw - 6.00 from Unibet Casino and NEC Nijmegen to win - 8.80 from 1xBet

  • What bookmaker offers the best AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Odds on Goals?

    The highest Over/Under 2,5 Goals Odds for AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen are the following: Over 2,5 Goals - 1.35 from Novibet, and Under 2,5 Goals - 3.60 from BetVictor Casino

  • Which bookmaker has the best AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Goalscorer Odds?

    The favourite to score at least a goal in AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen is Marcos Leonardo Santos Almeida with a price of 1.83 from 10bet

  • AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen who is better in the last 5 games?

    AFC Ajax has 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 loses in their last 5 games, while NEC Nijmegen has 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 loses in their last 5 games.

  • Who are the top goalscorers for AFC Ajax and NEC Nijmegen in Eredivisie 2026/2027?

    The best goalscorers in Eredivisie 2026/2027 are Julian Brandt for AFC Ajax with 4 and Tjaronn Chery for NEC Nijmegen with 3.

  • Who has the best defence in this Eredivisie 2026/2027 season between AFC Ajax and NEC Nijmegen?

    AFC Ajax has the best defence from Eredivisie 2026/2027 with 9 Goals Conceded in 7 Matches and 2 Clean Sheets. On average, AFC Ajax received 1.29 Goals per match played.

  • The last AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen. Who scored the goals?

    In the last AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen the goals were scored by Mika Godts, Darko Nejašmić

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
5
Team Logo AFC Ajax
21 7
11
Team Logo NEC Nijmegen
12 7

Player Statistics

Name
Julian Brandt
4 0 0 0 7 439
Davy Klaassen
3 0 2 0 7 444
Tolu Arokodare
3 1 0 0 6 274
Kasper Dolberg
2 3 0 0 6 328
Youri Baas
1 0 2 0 7 565

Eredivisie Standings

5
The AFC Ajax logo
7 4 2 1 21:9 14
11
The NEC Nijmegen logo
7 2 2 3 12:13 8
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points
  • Champions League
  • Europa League
  • Conference League
  • Relegation

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