- Team form: PSV are unbeaten in two Eredivisie 2026/2027 away games, winning two and conceding 1.00 goals per game on average.
- Home form: Ajax are yet to win their only Eredivisie 2026/2027 home game, but have scored 2.00 goals per home game on average.
- Recent run: Ajax have won three and drawn two of their last five games, and are on a two-game winning streak.
Two in form sides face off
Ajax currently sit 9th in the Eredivisie 2026/2027 table, having taken four points from their first two games, while PSV are in 2nd with ten points from their four games played. Michel's men have been in fine form since the opening two games of the Eredivisie 2026/2027 season, and are on a winning run.
PSV have also been in top form, winning three, drawing one and losing one of their subsequent five games, and are also on a current winning run. The last head-to-head in Eredivisie 2025/2026 saw this game end as a 2-2 tie at the Johan Cruijff ArenA, with Ajax taking one of the last three meetings and PSV winning none of the three – making this one look far from a sure thing for the visitors.
PSV’s high-press could edge it
PSV are the narrow favorite here, but Ajax's home advantage and edge in the head-to-head record makes me think twice about backing the visitors.
Tactical battle
Peter Bosz has got his side to play at full tilt, playing an aggressive, front-foot brand of soccer where the pressing is relentless, the pace of play is faster and the transitions more rapid. Ajax, on the other hand, are a possession-first side with a more structured press that is triggered by certain cues, and a more compact build-up structure.
This tactical battle should make for an intriguing match where the trigger of the press and the second balls won are crucial, and whichever side can seize the momentum when the other side is out of position could capitalize on the transitions.
Players to watch
- Guus Til is PSV's main man, with two goals in four Eredivisie 2026/2027 games, he is also a late-runner into the box.
- Abdellah Ouazane is Ajax's spark, with one goal in two Eredivisie 2026/2027 appearances.
Form and markets
PSV's two most recent results were both statement wins – a 5-1 victory at home to FC Groningen and a 6-1 victory away at FC Utrecht.
Ajax have also been in solid nick of late, and I think a draw at 1.4 is a great price for what should be a lively game full of chances. The over 2.5 goals market at 1.4 also suits this fixture.