- Team form: AFC Hornchurch have won one of their last three matches, losing the other two.
- Away form: Eastleigh have lost two of their last two away, picking up no points.
Urchins are a good home team
AFC Hornchurch will be confident that they can see off an out-of-sorts Eastleigh side at Hornchurch Stadium on Saturday afternoon, particularly as their home record in the National League 2026/2027 campaign has been sharp.
Daryl McMahon's side sit 12th in the National League 2026/2027 after 12 games and 18 points. This is a solid mid-table platform that has been built upon the back of four wins from five at home, and the Urchins have averaged 1.40 goals for and 0.40 goals against at their ground so far.
Hornchurch have won their last two at this venue and will back themselves to bully Eastleigh in the wide areas, just as they have done to all of their other National League 2026/2027 visitors this season. Joseph Kizzi is their top scorer with three goals and could be their best chance to find a breakthrough.
Spitfires have lost their way
Eastleigh have looked decent on paper over the past month or so, but their recent results suggest that something is amiss at Ten Acres. The Spitfires have lost three of their last five in all competitions, drawn once and won once, and their away record for the season is blank.
A 4-1 defeat to Harrogate Town, a 1-1 draw with Southend United and a 3-1 defeat to Woking have seen them fall to 17th in the National League 2026/2027 standings with 15 points from 12 games, and Matt Gray's men are being picked apart by the opposition with some regularity.
Hornchurch to edge it
Odds and predictions
The head-to-head odds for this one have AFC Hornchurch priced at 2.04, which looks just a touch too low for a side with the home advantage and a better record on the ground.
- Eastleigh are 3.3 and the draw is 3.88.
- We're taking the hosts to nick it on Saturday, but the gap in the odds is so tight that we're expecting this to be a live and potentially tight game.
- Over 2.5 goals at 1.77 and Both Teams To Score at 1.6 are our main bets and we're backing them to land in a game where both sides will be looking to push forward.
Tactical notes and key men
Eastleigh have scored four goals in five away games in the National League 2026/2027, but they've taken too few points from those games for a wager to be considered here.
Hornchurch have a fast start and Eastleigh have a compact shape and a 4-2-3-1 to fall back on, so there should be chances for both teams to get their teeth in. Aaron Blair has three goals in 11 appearances in the National League 2026/2027 and could be their key man to nick it at the other end of the spectrum.
