- Team form: Alianza Atletico are the better team, but have not won any of their last 5 and have the worst overall form of the two (W2, D2, L6).
- Recent form: Los Chankas CYC have been the steadier team overall, but have won 1 of their last 5 and drawn the other 2 (L2).
- Head-to-head: Los Chankas CYC haven't beaten Alianza Atletico in their last 2 matches at this venue, giving the hosts an edge.
A classic possession vs counter-clash in prospect
Federico Urciuoli's Alianza Atletico are a typical possession-based side that tries to control the middle and spring vertical attacks.
Walter Paolella's Los Chankas CYC are a bit more of a transition team, sitting deep in a compact block before breaking quickly wide when the ball is won and using set pieces to rattle the opposition. Los Chankas CYC's superior form overall (W5, D2, L3) should ensure this game is competitive, but Alianza Atletico look likeliest to edge it.
Los Leones de Tarma in trouble
Odds and head-to-head:
Alianza Atletico are the favorites here at 1.71, ahead of Los Chankas CYC at 4.0 and the draw at 3.5, which is a slight surprise to us given that the visitors have not won either of their two previous visits to this ground. The head-to-head record is a bit skewed in Alianza Atletico's favour at 4-1 in the last 5 meetings, but Los Chankas CYC did get the 1-0 victory the last time they met at home in Liga 1 – Apertura.
Recent form:
Los Leones come into this one on the back of a 3-game losing streak after a 3-1 defeat at FBC Melgar Arequipa in the Liga 1 – Apertura and a 4-1 defeat away at Cusco FC in the Liga 1 – Clausura 2026. Los Chankas CYC's previous two matches were a 3-0 away defeat to Alianza Lima and a 2-2 draw at home to Universidad Tecnica de Cajamarca, so there has been nothing consistent about their performance levels during the dip.
Chankas can make a contest of it
Defensive outlook:
Los Chankas CYC have conceded 8 goals in their 4 away matches in all current competitions and Alianza Atletico should be able to exploit that, although they need to be more clinical than they have been lately. Chankas have been better away from home, but their record of 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses in all current competitions isn't good enough to make them the pick in this tough test.
Betting and prediction:
Backing Alianza Atletico to win is still our selection because the odds are fair enough, but the numbers suggest a tight game rather than a runaway. Both teams to score at 1.71 and under 2.5 goals at 1.93 look reasonable enough to us.
Key players:
- Cristian Penilla is Alianza Atletico's spark, netting 2 of their 4 goals in their last 5 games and 1 in 1 game in Liga 1 – Clausura 2026, while Jarlin Quintero has been Chankas' sharpest edge with 2 of their 4 goals in the last 5 matches.
