- Head-to-head: Alianza Lima have won their last 2 matches in this fixture, the latest of which was a 2-1 away win in the Liga 1 - Apertura phase 5 months ago.
- Away H2H record: Sport Huancayo have failed to win their last 2 away H2H's.
- Home form: Alianza Lima have won 4 and drawn 1 of their 5 home matches across all current competitions, scoring an average of 3.20 goals per game.
A more than fair 1.4 favourite
Odds and expectations
Alianza Lima come into this game as the clear favorite at 1.4, and that is a fair reflection of the form of the two teams as well as the head-to-head record. Sport Huancayo are a big outsider at 7.7 while the draw sits at 4.35, so it's very much all Alianza in the odds. The question will be whether or not they can justify their favourites label with a performance to match the price.
Form and tactics
Alianza Lima's last two results have been a 3-0 home win over Los Chankas CYC and a 1-1 draw away at FC Cajamarca, both of which suggest that they are a team that gets the job done in their own backyard and are a tough nut to crack. Across all venues, they've won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 with 2 wins and a draw at home, so the fortress is still standing.
Pablo Guede's team can play a flexible 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3, with a real focus on fast vertical transitions and aggressive width to stretch the opposition. The team has 7 wins from their last 10 across all comps and they are a side with momentum.
A tough game in store
Recent results
Sport Huancayo come into this match in mixed form at best, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats across their last 5. Their most recent 3 results have seen a 4-1 away defeat to FBC Melgar, a 2-2 home draw with Cienciano and a 2-1 defeat away to Universitario, a poor run of results for a side that needs to get back on track.
Tactics and key player
Richard Pellejero's side will look to stay compact and play a more pragmatic style of soccer. Piero Magallanes is their spark as he has 3 of the team's 7 goals over the last 5 matches and he is the player Alianza must shut down.
Sport Huancayo have 2 wins in their last 10, with 5 defeats, so they are not a team in the habit of winning right now.
Alianza Lima to take control
I think the hosts will come out on top here. They have been the better team, they dominate at home and they have the better of the head-to-head.
- The odds for a home victory make a lot of sense and under 2.5 goals at 1.97 and both teams to score at 1.99 suggests that it won't be a shootout.
- The result looks about right for the money and the matchup, with Alianza more likely to control the terms of the game.
