- OFI form: OFI have lost three of their last five games in all competitions.
- Aris form: Aris have won four of their last five in all competitions, including their last two games.
- Head-to-head: Aris have won two of their last three home games against OFI in Super League Conference League Group action.
Head-to-head record gives home edge to Aris
Aris Thessaloniki are the favourite to beat OFI FC in Greece on Sunday, but the oddsmakers don't seem to want to separate the two clubs that much based on their odds for this clash at Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium. Aris are 1.8, with the visitors at 4.9 and the draw coming in at 3.45.
That doesn't make any sense to us as the home team are in the better form and have the better home record in this fixture. Aris thumped OFI 3-1 at this ground in Super League Conference League Group play three months ago and have won three of the last five head-to-head meetings, so the home edge looks obvious.
OFI's away record in all competitions is 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats from 6 trips while Aris are unbeaten in all contests with 3 wins from 3. And although OFI have won 4 of their last 10, they have also lost five, so this looks like a mismatch on paper with the God of War in far better form.
OFI’s defence will be under pressure
Aris attack
Michalis Grigoriou has done an excellent job at Aris Thessaloniki since taking over on 27 February 2026, developing a team that likes to press high and can morph between a front three and two strikers.
- Fabiano Leismann has already got two goals in one Super League 2026/2027 game, Benjamin Garre has one assist and Uros Racic has scored four in the last five, so this side has some real bite in the final third.
OFI setup
OFI FC are compact, defensive and disciplined in the way Christos Kontis has set them up since taking over on 30 October 2025. Taxiarchis Fountas has three goals in the O Ómilos' last five, so he is the main source of goals as Kontis has built his team around a platform of defending and counter-punching.
Tactical outlook
That style clash screams 'control vs counter' – with Aris attempting to take the initiative and OFI hoping to sit deep and grab a goal on the counter-attack.
It should suit the hosts more and we are going for them to earn a narrow and deserved victory, although the Under 2.5 goals and BTTS – no options come in at 1.7 and 1.77 respectively, which is too low given the matchup.
