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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Arsenal logo
22:32:57
16.08, 09:00
Manchester City logo
  • +159
  • X
    +250
  • +180
Community Shield
England
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Principality Stadium

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Tips, Stats and Odds

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Arsenal vs Manchester City Predictions

  • Arsenal form: Arsenal have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
  • Manchester City form: Manchester City have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 in all competitions.
  • Head-to-head: Manchester City have won the last 2 head-to-head meetings, including a 2-1 victory over Arsenal in the 2025/2026 Premier League 3 months ago.

An early-season statement match

Arsenal and Manchester City go head-to-head at Principality Stadium, Wales, in what will effectively be an early-season showdown between Mikel Arteta's established project and Enzo Maresca's new era of City in this FA Community Shield.

Both sides will be keen to take the spoils in what is a high-profile game, but they have very different styles of play. Arsenal will always look for the ball to be played forwards through the half-spaces at pace and they'll press aggressively when out of possession.

That can see their 4-2-3-1 base formation convert to a 3-2-5 or a 2-3-5 in possession, depending on the situation.

City's positional play will look to stretch the ball around the pitch and create overloads, pull the opposition out of position with inverted full-backs and eventually carve through the defence with a piece of class. It will be a chess match against Arsenal and the team with the best tactical ideas could have a slight advantage, which is usually City!

City have the edge

Form and momentum

While Arsenal have won 7 of their last 10 games in all competitions, they have lost 3 and come into this game on the back of a 2-match losing streak following their 1-4 win over Girona and defeats to Real Betis and Borussia Dortmund in the Friendly Club Matches 2026.

City have won their last 2 and have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats across their 10-game period. City have the momentum and the head-to-head edge to squeeze out a win, but Arsenal have just enough bite to keep this one on a knife-edge.

Managers and tactics

Mikel Arteta has been in charge since December 2019 and his side are still a team that like to make the game vertical and punish teams when they gain possession. Enzo Maresca took over the City hotseat on the 1st July 2026 and has added a fresh dimension to their already elite positional style.

Both teams to score is a good play

The odds are pretty tight with both sides priced up at 2.52 and the draw at 3.6.

  • Arsenal score an average of 2.00 goals per-match and concede an average of 1.30 in all competitions and that means their games are usually exciting but they rarely dominate.
  • City score an average of 2.20 per-match, scoring 22 times in total, so they're a team with firepower.
  • So we're going to take both teams to score at 1.65, but the Over 2.5 goals line at 1.8 also points to a lively game.
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Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    2.70
    1X2
    Manchester City
    Open
    Explanation
    • Manchester City won the last two head-to-heads, beating Arsenal 2-1 and 2-0 in the most recent meetings.
    • Across their last 10 matches, Manchester City concedes 1.3 goals per game while Arsenal concedes 1.7, favouring Manchester City defensively.
    • Manchester City scored 22 goals in their last 10 matches (2.2 per game) and recorded back-to-back 3-1 wins in recent matches.
  • Tipped at
    1.97
    Over/Under
    Over 2.5
    Open
    Explanation
    • Arsenal's matches averaged 4.2 total goals across their last 10 games, well above the 2.5 line.
    • Manchester City's last 10 matches averaged 3.5 goals per game, showing frequent high-scoring affairs.
    • Their last five head-to-heads averaged 3.4 goals, including a 5-1 and a 2-2, so H2H history favours over.
  • Tipped at
    1.68
    Both Teams To Score
    Yes
    Open
    Explanation
    • Across their last 10 matches, Manchester City saw both teams score in 7 of 10 games, a 70% rate supporting BTTS.
    • In their last five head-to-head meetings, both teams scored in 4 of 5 games, including 2-3 and 2-2 results.
    • In Arsenal's last five matches all 5 games had both teams on the scoresheet, showing consistent BTTS outcomes.

Odds

1X2
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Arsenal logo

Last 45 H2H matches

  • 12
    Won
  • 10
    Draw
  • 23
    Won
Manchester City logo

Last Matches

  • Apr 19 2026
    Premier League
    Arsenal logo
    Manchester City
    2
    Arsenal logo
    Arsenal
    1
  • Mar 22 2026
    EFL Cup
    Manchester City logo
    Arsenal
    0
    Manchester City logo
    Manchester City
    2
  • Sept 21 2025
    Premier League
    Manchester City logo
    Arsenal
    1
    Manchester City logo
    Manchester City
    1
  • Feb 02 2025
    Premier League
    Manchester City logo
    Arsenal
    5
    Manchester City logo
    Manchester City
    1
  • Sept 22 2024
    Premier League
    Arsenal logo
    Manchester City
    2
    Arsenal logo
    Arsenal
    2

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Community Shield Matches

Match Facts

  • What bookmaker offers the best Arsenal vs Manchester City Match Winner Odds?

    The highest Match Winner Odds for Arsenal vs Manchester City are the following: Arsenal to win - 2.60 from Fonbet, Draw - 3.50 from Megapari Casino and Manchester City to win - 2.80 from Fonbet

  • What bookmaker offers the best Arsenal vs Manchester City Odds on Goals?

    The highest Over/Under 2,5 Goals Odds for Arsenal vs Manchester City are the following: Over 2,5 Goals - 1.95 from 1xBet, and Under 2,5 Goals - 2.00 from 1xBet

  • Which bookmaker has the best Arsenal vs Manchester City Goalscorer Odds?

    The favourite to score at least a goal in Arsenal vs Manchester City is Erling Haaland with a price of 2.40 from Unibet Casino

  • Arsenal vs Manchester City who is better in the last 5 games?

    Arsenal has 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 loses in their last 5 games, while Manchester City has 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 loses in their last 5 games.

  • The last Arsenal vs Manchester City. Who scored the goals?

    In the last Arsenal vs Manchester City the goals were scored by Mathis Rayan Cherki, Kai Havertz, Erling Haaland

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