- Home form: Calcio Como are unbeaten in their last 2 home games (Won 1, Drawn 1).
- Away form: RB Leipzig have won 2 and lost 5 away games in all competitions.
- Recent run: Como have won 6, drawn 2 and lost just 2 of their last 10 games in all competitions.
Home advantage could help Como to win
Head-to-head history counts for little in the UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 qualifier as Calcio Como host RB Leipzig at Stadio G. Sinigaglia in Italy on Thursday. That's because neither of these two teams are in the same shape or style.
Cesc Fabregas has Como playing pro-active, possession-first football with some of the best half-space rotations and counter-pressing you'll see in Serie A. The Lariani have been in outstanding form of late, winning back-to-back away games against Napoli and Genoa to score six goals in the process.
Their form suggests they can cause a problem for Die Roten Bullen here and the odds of 1.9 for a home win look fair value, all things considered.
Leipzig’s mixed form suggests they’ll struggle
Recent results
Leipzig's recent form has been a mixed bag of wins and losses in almost equal measure, with their 3 most recent results suggesting an unpredictable clash on Thursday. They followed up a 6-0 DFB Pokal thumping of SV Eintracht Trier with a 3-0 Bundesliga win over Borussia Monchengladbach before being brought down a peg by a 3-1 defeat at the hands of Werder Bremen.
Tactical outlook
This match looks a lot like a chess match in which Como will look to control the rhythm and tempo while Leipzig will seek to sting them in transitions. Martín Demichelis is blending the Red Bull playing style of transitions with a more central build-up and controlled structure, but it's hard to trust them to win on the road here.
An exciting clash in store
We like the look of the goals markets in this one, with Over 2.5 at 1.57 and BTTS – Yes at 1.5 both looking good bets, although it is probably the BTTS selection that has the most value.
- With Martin Baturina in particular having been a livewire for Calcio Como, 3 of their 7 goals in the last 5 games came from his boots.
- We think the most likely outcome will be a home victory in a game with goals at both ends, but don't be surprised to see the Lariani nick the win in a close affair.
