- Home form: Chivas have won 2, tied 0 and lost 1 at home in Liga MX 2026/2027, scoring 6 goals in 3 matches.
- Away form: Pumas have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 on their travels in Liga MX 2026/2027, averaging 2.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game.
- Recent form: Chivas have won 4 and tied 1 of their last 5 Liga MX 2026/2027 matches, while Pumas have won 0, tie 2 and lost 3 of their last 5.
Chivas are clear favourites at Estadio Akron
CD Chivas de Guadalajara have a slight edge over Pumas UNAM going into their early-season Liga MX 2026-2027 clash at Estadio Akron on Monday and the Rebaño Sagrado have been the team in form lately. The Guadalajara-based club sit 2nd in the Liga MX 2026/2027 table on 14 points from seven matches, while Pumas are 12th on 8 points from 6 games.
Chivas have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5 matches while Pumas have lost 3 of their last 5, so the home team are deserved favourites at 1.52 with the visitors 5.25 and a tie 4.0. Chivas have won 2, lost 1 and drawn none at home in Liga MX 2026/2027 while Pumas have won 2 and lost 1 away from home, so the bookmakers have got this fixture just about right. But there are some alternative ways to make money here and the way the two coaches have been setting up their teams this season suggests we could see a cagey and chaotic 90 minutes.
Goals will flow but Chivas have the extra edge
Tactics and setup
Gabriel Milito has his side playing a possession-first 3-4-2-1/3-4-3 system, which has seen his wing-backs drive the width of the field at times and also play with a high press that his Chivas team have the energy to sustain. Esteban Solari has a flexible 4-2-3-1, but has the double pivot and No.10 to spring quick vertical attacks that have seen them score plenty on their away days.
Key players and recent form
The home side have their most reliable finisher in Ricardo Marin, who has scored 4 goals in seven Liga MX 2026/2027 games so far and 3 in their 5-match unbeaten run.
- Pumas' counterpunch is led by Brazilian playmaker Juninho, who has 3 goals in 6 Liga MX 2026/2027 appearances, but his side have Robert Morales in support with 3 assists in 6 games to keep the attack ticking over.
- Pumas have the sharper away record and have impressed on their road trips in this campaign, but Chivas have had the superior sequence of results and should have the edge at their own place.
- Their home record in Liga MX 2026/2027 reads 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, while Pumas are 2-0-1, so the points and form lines point us to a home victory on Monday.
Prediction and betting
The last meeting in the Liga MX 2025/2026 season finished 2-2 in Guadalajara, however, which tells us this fixture could be cagey and that Pumas can still make a punch. That's why an under 2.5 goals or BTTS-No bet is recommended, with Under 2.5 at 2.05 and BTTS-No at 1.93 our preferred pick.
