- Team form: Orlando have won their last two matches against MLS teams, 4-0 away at San Jose Earthquakes and 1-0 at home to Nashville SC.
- Home form: Monterrey have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games in all competitions, averaging 2.20 goals conceded and 1.80 scored.
- Overall form: Monterrey's all-competitions form is mixed-to-poor – 2 wins, 3 ties and 5 defeats in the last 10 – while Orlando's is good – 6 wins, 1 tie and 3 defeats.
Orlando are the form favourites
Orlando City SC, priced at 2.3 to win this matchup, are the clear form favourites to beat Monterrey in the 2026-2027 CONCACAF Leagues Cup on Wednesday. The Mexican giants come in at 2.75, while the tie odds are 3.3.
City's momentum looks the cleanest of the two sides going into the game and they will take plenty of confidence from their two most recent MLS 2026 results – the 4-0 victory over San Jose in the California town and the 1-0 home win over Nashville.
The City are a mix of 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3 in the hands of coach Martín Perelman, who likes to play more directly and at a higher tempo than the previous regime. But the 4-3-3 can be easily converted to a 4-2-3-1 if the game becomes more congested or the opposition can keep possession well – which will be the case against Monterrey.
Monterrey are a man-oriented press side
Style of play
Matías Almeyda's men are a more man-oriented, high-energy pressing side, designed to get the ball back quickly and play at tempo. They do this by setting up with a very high defensive line, while their 4-1-3-2 structure or variations of a compact 4-3-3 are aimed at clogging the middle of the pitch and making it difficult for opponents to play.
Key player
Lucas Ocampos has been their main outlet, scoring 5 of Monterrey's 7 goals over their past five matches and he could be the difference between these two teams on Wednesday.
Recent records
Monterrey's home record in all competitions is shaky, with 2 wins and 3 defeats from their last 5, while Orlando have been sharp away from home recently with 3 wins and 3 defeats in their last 6 trips in all competitions. They have scored 16 goals in those six away matches, so should be able to penetrate Monterrey's structure at some stage of this matchup.
Orlando to edge a close match
Orlando's all-competitions record of 6 wins, 1 tie and 3 defeats from their last 10 is a far better return than Monterrey's 2-3-5 sequence, so we are taking the visitors as the likelier winners here.
But we like the look of Over 2.5 goals as a alternative bet because Monterrey's pressing game, which will be geared to high pressure, should lead to goals at both ends of the field. The wide runners for Orlando should get in behind Monterrey's fullbacks regularly and it should be a close and competitive affair.
