- Home form: Cerro have won two, drawn three and lost three of their eight Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura 2026 home games.
- Away form: Penarol Montevideo have won five and lost two of their seven away games in the same competition.
- Recent meetings: Penarol Montevideo have won two and Cerro one of the last three meetings between these two sides.
Different styles on show in Montevideo
Table position and recent form
Penarol Montevideo sit 4th in the Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura 2026 with 27 points from 15 games, while Club Atletico Cerro have struggled down in 16th with just 10 points from the same amount of matches.
Penarol Montevideo will be favourites to win Sunday’s game, but their form is a little patchy at the moment with two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five matches and they come into this clash following back-to-back losses. Cerro’s form is worse with one win and four defeats from their last five and Alejandro Cappuccio has been tasked with building a strong base at the club to help them climb the standings.
Tactical approaches
Cerro are a compact and pragmatic 4-1-4-1 side, who sit deep and get men behind the ball to protect their defensive structure, but can be a threat on the counterattack. Penarol Montevideo are a more progressive side and their 4-1-4-1 system allows them to press high up the pitch, and make fast transitions, which will test Cerro’s patience.
The differences in playing styles should see Penarol dictate the flow of the game and they have a little extra quality and energy to maintain pressure on the ball throughout the match. The only thing that could keep the score down is the quality of the opposition and Cerro’s ability to keep things compact and defensive.
Penarol to win and keep things clean
Both sides have different approaches and there is a good chance one of them will keep a shutout. Odds of 2.02 for Over 2.5 goals is a bit low for this fixture, but ‘Both Teams to Score - No’ at 1.66 looks like a better option for the same outcome. Penarol Montevideo to get the win looks like the best bet, however, and at 1.54 it’s a bit too short for our tastes.
Club Atletico Cerro average just 0.62 goals per game at home, and they concede just 0.75 goals. Penarol score an average of 1.43 goals away and they have conceded just 0.71 per match. This should be an entertaining game with the visitors more than capable of getting the win, and they have a decent record away from home this season.
Penarol Montevideo have failed to win on either of their previous two trips to Cerro, so that could be a factor, but we’re expecting the visitors to come out on top.
- Matias Arezo leads the line for Penarol with six goals in 13 league matches, while Alejo Macelli is the top scorer for Cerro with three goals in 14.
- Cerro’s goals largely come from set pieces and Macelli’s deliveries.
- Penarol can and will play their full-backs high up the field, where they will work with their midfield engine to create numerical superiority and unlock the Cerro defence.
