- Guemes form: Club Atletico Guemes have taken 1 point from their last 5 games in all competitions, losing 4.
- Rafaela form: Atletico de Rafaela have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 in all competitions.
- Guemes home scoring: Club Atletico Guemes have scored 0.92 goals per home game in Primera Nacional 2026.
Opposing forces in possession battle
Standings and form
Club Atletico Guemes and Atletico de Rafaela have been two of the less successful clubs in Primera Nacional 2026, occupying 36th and 15th positions respectively, with 20 points from 24 games and 35 from 25, but Rafaela are in better shape to kickstart their season.
Tactical approaches
Fernando Quiroz has been in charge of La Crema since 15 July 2026 and has instilled a compact, pragmatic style that is geared for transition play. La Crema have the personnel to be tight in a 4-4-2 or even a narrower block when they sit deep and wait for space to open up in front of them. Rafaela don't score many goals, but they have one of the Primera Nacional's most consistent and reliable players in Martiniano Moreno, who has bagged 6 goals in 22 matches.
Pablo Guinazu's men, on the other hand, have played with the ball much more since he took over on 20 May 2026. They've tried to control the ball, dictate the pace and run at their opponents, but on the road they can be forced long, which doesn't suit them and they've been punished as a result.
Crema can capitalise on Güemes’ goal drought
Guemes' poor form and Rafaela's slight edge in the table point to an away win, but the odds here are too good to ignore and the stats also indicate this should be a defensive match.
Their latest results have been a 3-0 away loss to Agropecuario and a 1-1 away draw with Club Atletico Mitre, so they are not strong away from home and have been looking a little blunt up front.
It's a possession vs counter-attack game and the wide battles may well decide who gets the win with Rafaela's counter-attacking speed against Guemes' possession-based game. This is one of those games where the odds on Both Teams To Score – No at 1.65 are just too good to pass up and Under 2.5 goals at 1.42 also looks excellent.
Atletico de Rafaela are 2.6 favourites to beat Guemes, who are 2.9 and the draw is 2.75.
- Rafaela have won just 1, drawn 5 and lost 6 of their 12 away Primera Nacional 2026 games, so they don't travel well.
- But Guemes have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 6 at home, while scoring only 0.92 goals per game.
- Juan Sotelo, their danger man with 9 Primera Nacional 2026 goals in 18 matches, has scored all three of them.
- La Crema are in a groove now with a 1-0 win at home over Chacarita Juniors followed by back-to-back 1-1 draws to move away from the bottom of the table.
