Club Tigres de la UANL

vs

Necaxa

Tips, Stats and Odds

It's 15th vs 12th in the early Liga MX 2026/2027 standings when Club Tigres de la UANL welcome Necaxa to Estadio Universitario/El Volcan on Sunday. Los Tigres are on a slower start than usual and have collected just five points from their first six games, putting a bit of real pressure on the hosts to claim the win here.

Tigres are in mixed form overall after three wins, one draw and a defeat from their last five but they are strong at home, beating Atlante 2-0 and drawing 0-0 with Santos Laguna in their opening two games there.

Necaxa are a point ahead in the table with seven points from as many games. Los Rayos have lost their way of late, however, after taking just one point from their last three games – defeats of 2-1 at home to León and 3-1 to Cruz Azul either side of a 1-1 draw away at Pumas.

These two clubs last met in Liga MX 2025/2026, when the score finished 1-1 at Necaxa's home turf and the gap between the two remains the same in the 2026/27 version.

Tigres come into this game as the odds-on favorite at 1.57, with the draw second best at 4.45 and Necaxa third at 5.3. It's not a easy matchup to call, however, with Tigres in mixed form and Necaxa a side sitting 12th in the table, so we have to go with the odds on this occasion and take the hosts to edge a fairly tight contest.

The head-to-head record doesn't give a great deal of guidance, with Tigres winning two and drawing three of the last five, but home advantage is the key factor here, with Necaxa yet to win away in this season's competition and Tigres unbeaten at El Volcan.

Necaxa have been more competitive away from home than their overall results suggest with one draw and a loss from two, so the home side will have to do the majority of the heavy lifting here.

Guido Pizarro's men like to control the game and control the tempo, but Necaxa are a more proactive side that prefer to press in the right moments, transition quickly and play a more positive style. Martín Varini's side generally line up in a back-three and have some good recovery triggers, so it could be a game that opens and closes in phases.

With both teams to score a more likely outcome than the 1.57 home favorite would suggest, a 2-1 Tigres win looks the right play in the exact score market and a home result with both to score is the bet in the primary wager. Tigres have enough quality to make the difference in the game and have won their last three at El Volcan.