- Home form: Pasto have lost their last two games and have only won one of their last five.
- Visitors form: Cali have won four of their last five games, losing just once.
- Away defence: Cali have conceded six goals in six away games across all competitions.
A cagey chess match expected
With Deportivo Pasto winning just two and losing eight of their last ten matches across all competitions, and Deportivo Cali winning six, drawing two and losing just two, the visitors enter Sunday's game in much better shape than their hosts and this should be a much closer encounter. The home team have won none of their last four at home across all competitions, and the visitors, although they're not a dominant force when playing away, have won three, drawn one and lost just twice, so they certainly travel well enough to potentially steal a result on Sunday.
The last H2H meeting finished 3-0 to Cali at home in Primera A 2026, while Pasto have failed to win either of their previous two home fixtures against the Valle del Cauca side. In fact, Cali have won three of the last five and Pasto one, while one has finished level.
Tight odds
Pasto come into this one at 2.4 and Cali at 3.05, while the draw is priced at 3.05, and as much as Cali are the obvious pick here based on form and recent H2H, the market isn't far from correct on this one.
A cagey game is the likeliest outcome, as there's enough evidence to suggest that Cali are capable of holding up their end of the bargain and that Pasto have been fragile recently, so it feels like the smarter play is to take Cali in the Double Chance market.
Deportivo Cali should have the edge
Tactical setup
- Pasto have been in a slump since the start of December, when Jonathan Risueno took over the club and installed a possession-based 4-3-3 system that is all about playing with the ball, controlling the territory and pressuring when coordinated.
- Cali under Rafael Dudamel, who took charge in March 2026, have been more tricky to predict, as they are more flexible in their approach and have a more pragmatic edge.
- This could be a very interesting chess match, as Cali are built to punish mistakes, which is exactly what they will get if Pasto are bypassed in their press.
Goals and market
A lack of goals looks likely, as Pasto have netted just twice in their last four home games across all competitions and may suffer another disappointing night. Under 2.5 goals at 1.53 looks the best angle to take in this Primera A 2026 clash, while both teams to score No is the top pick in the BTTS market at 1.73.
