- Team form: Chapecoense are winless after eight Serie A 2026 away games (D2, L6), scoring an average of 0.50 goals and conceding 1.62.
- Home form: Bahia have won three, drawn four and lost two of nine home Serie A 2026 games, scoring 14 goals in nine.
Bahia to outclass Chapecoense in style clash
The odds for the matchup between EC Bahia and Chapecoense SC seem skewed to the home side, with Bahia at 1.4, the draw at 4.85 and the visitors coming in at 7.5. Bahia sit 6th in Serie A 2026 with 26 points from 17 games and they're heavy favourites to see off Chapecoense, who occupy 20th spot with just nine points.
The points gap between the sides is undeniably large and Bahia certainly should win this matchup, but they are not playing at their best right now. Rogério Ceni has been in charge of Bahia since 13 September 2023 and he has installed a clear pattern of play in the team which is to dominate the ball and pressure opponents in their half. Bahia typically set up in a 4-3-3 and look to transition quickly up the field when the ball is won, with coordinated pressing patterns making them tough to deal with.
Chapecoense are a very different animal these days. Rafael Lacerda has been at the helm since 30 May 2026 and he has built his side to be pragmatic, compact and to spring forward on the break. It has not been the most exciting of plans but it should ensure that the visitors make this a very cagey game.
Bahia’s road form is iffy
Recent form
Chapecoense's last five matches in all competitions reads one win, one draw and three losses, but the biggest issue is that they've gone on a three-game losing streak. Bahia's last two Serie A 2026 matchups have been a 3-2 away defeat to Coritiba and a 2-1 home win over Botafogo, which is a swingy form run that isn't ideal, but they did respond with a solid performance last time out at home. Bahia's recent home form reads one win, one draw and one defeat from the last three in all current competitions, so they are not completely firing on all cylinders right now.
Betting and tactics
Nonetheless, they should be expected to have the advantage against Chapecoense given that the latter are in a rebuilding phase and have an inferior quality of player overall.
- A Bahia home win and under 2.5 goals looks a good angle to take on this matchup, especially considering that the Both Teams to Score – No market is priced at 1.84.
- Chapecoense's away form in all of their current competitions reads zero wins, one draw and two defeats from the last three away games, which is a poor return.
- But we believe that they could keep this game cagey for periods of it as they will be compact and should be able to keep the home team in check during those spells.
