- Home form: FC Midtjylland are 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat from 5 home matches in all competitions.
- Away form: Besiktas JK are 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from 5 away matches in all competitions.
Two teams on similar runs
Midtjylland form
FC Midtjylland have had a similar, if slightly better, run of results in all competitions of late to Besiktas JK, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 2 of their last 10.
The Danish side's last 3 results read a 0-6 away win at Cardiff City FC, a 4-1 home win against OB Odense, and a 1-0 away defeat to Besiktas JK in UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026.
Besiktas form
Besiktas JK have had a pretty similar run, 2 wins, 2 draws and a defeat in their last 5, with a 1-1 draw away to OFK Malzenice, a 3-2 defeat away to FC Spartak Trnava and a 1-0 win at home to Midtjylland in UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026 being the latest 3 results.
Similar styles in search of dominance
Vincenzo Italiano's Besiktas are a possession-based side, favouring a 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 formation, pressing hard and circulating the ball quickly to create overloads in areas of the pitch.
Midtjylland have a style, with Mike Tullberg's side setting up with 3 at the back and wing-backs flying on. They're also a side that press hard, but their compact nature is built more for nicking the ball and hitting opponents on the break.
That should make for a chess match on Thursday, with Besiktas looking for the ball and territory while FCM aim to nick it, break fast, and punish the space. Besiktas' run of 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 matches suggests they aren't quite clicking yet and Midtjylland's run of 5-3-2 looks a solid rhythm.
An away win would be a surprise
These two sides are pretty evenly matched, but the hosts will be hard to beat in MCH Arena and we're hoping they'll nick this one, or at least keep it cagey enough to force a 0-0 or 1-1 draw.
- Besiktas JK are 3.99 for the win on Thursday, which is simply too big of a price for the visitors who are already 1-0 up in this tie.
- FCM are the favorites at 1.83 while the draw is 3.6, so backing the home side looks best here, despite the low odds.
- However, a smart angle for a bet at a better price is under 2.5 goals at 1.78, which is a pretty fair price considering the odds are for a home side playing at 1.83.
- Besiktas score 1.40 goals per game on the road and concede 1.20, while Midtjylland have scored 9 goals in 5 home matches, but are often kept alive by conceding goals.
