- Odds: Lech arrive as the 2.6 favorite with Thun 2.66, so this game still has plenty of upset potential.
- Thun recent form: FC Thun have won two and lost three of their last five games.
- Lech recent form: KKS Lech Poznan have won their last five matches consecutively, without a defeat in that run.
Lech look like a hot horse
Kolejorz are in fine form, winning all five of their recent matches consecutively, and arrive at Arena Thun in Switzerland as the clear favorites to beat Gian-Luca Privitelli's FC Thun. Niels Frederiksen's side have been in great shape since he took over as Head Coach on 1 July 2024, pressing high, playing out wide and combining quickly with purpose and tempo.
Across all competitions, Lech Poznan have won seven, drawn two and lost just one of their last ten matches, which is a clear indication of their current confidence and momentum.
- They beat Piast Gliwice 3-0 at home in the Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, cruised to a 5-0 win away to KI Klaksvík in UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026 and demolished Thun 7-0.
Thun are a direct and dynamic side
Home form:
FC Thun have won just one, drawn once and lost two of their three home games this season and have conceded nine goals, an average of 2.25 per game across all current competitions.
Style:
They are a compact, direct side, which sets up in a way and looks to spring the off the ball runs through the middle.
Recent response:
Privitelli's men were well beaten 7-0 by Lech in the last round and while they did bounce back with a 6-0 away win against FC Saxon Sports in the Swiss Cup 2026/2027, a result like that one was not going to be enough to erase the bad feeling that accompanied that 7-0 defeat in UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026. Across all competitions, Thun have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, so their overall form is certainly shaky.
Lech are the likelier winner
FC Thun are a decent side but Lech are in such good form that they are the clear choice here. However, Thun's counter-attacking game should give this game a live feel, so I will take BTTS No at 2.9 as a sharper alternative to Over 2.5 at 1.4 and BTTS Yes at 1.36 in the direct market.
Patrik Waalemark is Lech's sharpest edge, netting three goals in three in UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026, but Brighton Labeau has bagged two in three in this competition and is the best option as anytime scorer for Thun.
