- Head-to-head: TPS have the home-field advantage and a psychological edge, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings between these teams.
- Recent form: Both sides are in poor form with TPS and Jaro each winning just 1 and losing 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Recent results: Jaro is on a 3-game losing run, including a 0-5 thrashing away at Ilves 72 hours ago.
Tempo vs Counter – TPS vs Jaro in Finland
This Saturday's Veikkausliiga 2026 clash between FC TPS Turku and FF Jaro is a match between two teams in the early-season relegation battle, with TPS currently 7th with 15 points from 11 games and Jaro 11th with 7 points from 12. However, Jaro have the worst away record in the league having failed to win in 7 games in 2026 (D2, L5), which gives the newly-promoted hosts the advantage on paper.
Ivan Pinol's TPS are on a 2-game losing streak, after they were beaten 1-2 at home by KuPS Palloseura in Veikkausliiga 2026, whereas Jaro are on a 3-game losing skid after their 0-5 thrashing away at table-topping Ilves on Tuesday. TPS have 4 wins, 1 draw and only 1 defeat from their home fixtures in Veikkausliiga 2026, so they should fancy their chances of returning to winning ways at Veritas Stadion, Finland.
The last meeting between TPS and Jaro, played just 7 weeks ago, finished 2-2 in Veikkausliiga 2026 and this fixture has also been very close over the years, with TPS winning 3, Jaro 1 and 1 draw in the last 5 clashes between the teams across all competitions. That said, TPS have won 2 of the last 3 games between the clubs in Turku, which further strengthens their odds to win the points on Saturday.
Jaro will be a hard nut to crack
Odds and form
Both TPS and Jaro are in woeful form but the bookmakers seem to have overestimated Jaro's chances here, with the visitors 2.93 in the win bet compared to TPS 2.22, the draw 3.4. That's despite the fact that Jaro have failed to win on the road all season and are currently on a 3-game losing spree.
Prediction and match dynamics
I'm sticking with TPS to take the points here, but Jaro will make this a hard-fought clash and could easily nick a goal to keep things tight.
TPS like to play a proactive 4-3-3, which they press with and attack wide from, they'll try to control the game at their tempo here. Jaro are a bit more tactically flexible but are more of a defense-first unit who will look to pack the defence deep and frustrate, hitting on the counter when the chance comes.
- Albijon Muzaci is TPS's most prolific forward, with 3 Veikkausliiga 2026 goals in 11 games, so far, but Eetu Turkki is a creative engine in the middle of the field with 4 assists in 9 this season.
- Herman Sjoegrell is Jaro's main attacking outlet, with 3 goals in 12 Veikkausliiga 2026 games.
A good night for goals
Turku score on average 1.33 goals per game at home in Veikkausliiga 2026 and Jaro score just 0.29 on their travels, but they also concede a shocking 2.57 goals per away game in 2026, so the 'over 2.5 goals' line looks like it could be worth a gamble here.
