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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Kilmarnock logo
4 days
19.09, 11:45
Hearts Of Midlothian FC logo
  • +380
  • X
    +319
  • -142
Premiership
Scotland
/
Premiership
/
The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park

vs
Tips, Stats and Odds

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Kilmarnock vs Hearts Of Midlothian FC Predictions

  • Kilmarnock form: Kilmarnock are 12th in the Premiership 2026/2027 after 5 games, picking up just 1 point from 5 games.
  • Hearts form: Hearts are 3rd after 5 games, taking 12 points from a possible 15.

A tale of two clubs

Kilmarnock are stuck at the bottom of the Premiership 2026/2027 after 5 rounds of games, picking up a meagre 1 point thus far. Killie have only won 1 of their last 5 in all competitions (D1, L3) and they failed to get the better of Aberdeen in their most recent league outing, leaving Killie with it all to do in the race for Premiership 2026/2027 survival.

Hearts on the other hand are a very different story. The Jambos come into this one as the clear Premiership 2026/2027 favorites (1.67), and with Kilmarnock and the draw priced at 4.65 and 3.95 respectively, we believe there to be some decent odds to be had.

A story of two approaches

Hearts come into this game flying high after 5 successive wins, leaving them 3rd in the table. They last played at home in the league on Wednesday, beating Dundee 2-1, while they trounced Stenhousemuir 3-0 away in the cup on Saturday.

Killie played Aberdeen in their most recent Premiership 2026/2027 game, coming back to Rugby Park after a 0-0 draw away at Aberdeen. They would've been in better spirits than their opponents on the day, however, as a 1-1 draw at home to Aberdeen in an earlier cup tie which ended in a penalty shootout defeat to the same side in the Scottish League Cup.

The likely story

Tactical outlook

These two sides have differing styles and that should tell the story in this one. Neil McCann's Killie side are set up to be compact and counter first, while Wouter Vrancken's Jambos are all about high pressure and more progressive style.

We expect to see a game of control vs counter, and we think Jambos will have more luck in that respect, their tempo and pressure should force Killie to play out of their comfort zone in the first half of the field.

Head-to-head and expectation

Jambos are the clear winners of this game but Killie's record at Rugby Park and the last H2H result (Kilmarnock won 1-0 in the home match in the 2025/2026 Prem, but Jambos have won on 2 of their last 3 trips to Rugby Park) lead us to think this will be a tough, tense game and not a cakewalk.

Key players and statistics

  • Claudio Braga leads the scoring charts for Jambos with 2 goals from 5 games in the 2026/2027 season, while Joshua McPake has provided the creativity with 3 assists in their last 5 matches.
  • Greg Kiltie tops Killie's scoring charts with a single goal after 5 Premiership games, but his team have a little more to tick along with, Tom Lowery has made things happen with 2 assists from the top of the midfield.

Best bets

With Hearts flying at both ends of the pitch and Kilmarnock struggling to find consistency, we think Over 2.5 and Both Teams To Score at 1.62, respectively, are the best options for this matchup.

While we do believe Hearts are the more likely winner, we aren't keen on them in the result markets as Killie could just nick it if they perform at their best.

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Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.70
    1X2
    Hearts Of Midlothian FC
    Open
    Explanation
    • Across their last 5 matches, Hearts Of Midlothian FC has won 5 straight games, showing clear winning form.
    • In Premiership 2026-2027, Hearts Of Midlothian FC averages 2.4 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded per match.
    • At Kilmarnock's home, Kilmarnock has conceded 10 goals (3.33 per home match), highlighting defensive issues.
  • Tipped at
    1.61
    Over/Under
    Over 2.5
    Open
    Explanation
    • In Premiership 2026-2027, matches involving Kilmarnock average 3.6 total goals per match, favouring Over 2.5.
    • Hearts Of Midlothian FC posts 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match this season, a 3.4 combined rate supporting Over.
    • Across their last 5 matches, Hearts Of Midlothian FC has scored 11 goals, showing recent high-scoring form on the road.
  • Tipped at
    1.59
    Both Teams To Score
    Yes
    Open
    Explanation
    • When Hearts Of Midlothian FC play away, both teams have scored in 100.0% of those away matches, strongly favouring Yes.
    • At home Kilmarnock concedes 10 goals (3.33 per home match), making them likely to concede again.
    • Across their last 5 matches, Hearts Of Midlothian FC scored 11 goals, showing consistent away attacking threat that yields goals.

Odds

1X2
Bookmakers
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  • Draw
  • Away
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Kilmarnock logo

Last 50 H2H matches

  • 22
    Won
  • 12
    Draw
  • 16
    Won
Hearts Of Midlothian FC logo

Last Matches

  • Mar 14 2026
    Premiership
    Hearts Of Midlothian FC logo
    Kilmarnock
    1
    Hearts Of Midlothian FC logo
    Hearts Of Midlothian FC
    0
  • Dec 03 2025
    Premiership
    Kilmarnock logo
    Hearts Of Midlothian FC
    1
    Kilmarnock logo
    Kilmarnock
    1
  • Oct 18 2025
    Premiership
    Hearts Of Midlothian FC logo
    Kilmarnock
    0
    Hearts Of Midlothian FC logo
    Hearts Of Midlothian FC
    3
  • May 18 2025
    Premiership
    Hearts Of Midlothian FC logo
    Kilmarnock
    0
    Hearts Of Midlothian FC logo
    Hearts Of Midlothian FC
    1
  • Jan 25 2025
    Premiership
    Kilmarnock logo
    Hearts Of Midlothian FC
    3
    Kilmarnock logo
    Kilmarnock
    2

User Tips

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Premiership Matches

Match Facts

  • What bookmaker offers the best Kilmarnock vs Hearts Of Midlothian FC Match Winner Odds?

    The highest Match Winner Odds for Kilmarnock vs Hearts Of Midlothian FC are the following: Kilmarnock to win - 4.75 from Unibet Casino, Draw - 4.00 from Unibet Casino and Hearts Of Midlothian FC to win - 1.70 from Megapari Casino

  • What bookmaker offers the best Kilmarnock vs Hearts Of Midlothian FC Odds on Goals?

    The highest Over/Under 2,5 Goals Odds for Kilmarnock vs Hearts Of Midlothian FC are the following: Over 2,5 Goals - 1.65 from LVBet Casino, and Under 2,5 Goals - 2.25 from Unibet Casino

  • Kilmarnock vs Hearts Of Midlothian FC who is better in the last 5 games?

    Kilmarnock has 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 loses in their last 5 games, while Hearts Of Midlothian FC has 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 loses in their last 5 games.

  • Who are the top goalscorers for Kilmarnock and Hearts Of Midlothian FC in Premiership 2026/2027?

    The best goalscorers in Premiership 2026/2027 are Greg Kiltie for Kilmarnock with 1 and Joshua McPake for Hearts Of Midlothian FC with 2.

  • Who has the best defence in this Premiership 2026/2027 season between Kilmarnock and Hearts Of Midlothian FC?

    Hearts Of Midlothian FC has the best defence from Premiership 2026/2027 with 5 Goals Conceded in 5 Matches and 1 Clean Sheets. On average, Hearts Of Midlothian FC received 1.00 Goals per match played.

  • The last Kilmarnock vs Hearts Of Midlothian FC. Who scored the goals?

    In the last Kilmarnock vs Hearts Of Midlothian FC the goals were scored by Michael Schjonning-Larsen

Authors

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
3
Team Logo Hearts Of Midlothian FC
12 5
12
Team Logo Kilmarnock
4 5

Player Statistics

Name
Joe Hugill
1 0 2 0 5 450
Greg Kiltie
1 0 1 0 5 437
Michael Schjoenning-Larsen
1 0 0 0 5 433
Maksymilian Stryjek
0 0 0 0 5 450
Tom Lowery
0 2 1 0 5 437

Premiership Standings

3
The Hearts Of Midlothian FC logo
5 4 0 1 12:5 12
12
The Kilmarnock logo
5 0 1 4 4:14 1
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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