- Head-to-head: Lusitania FC are unbeaten in their last two games against FC Porto B, W1, D1
- Odds: Lusitania FC are slight favorites to beat FC Porto B at 2.22, while the draw at 3.25 looks generous.
- Form: Lusitania FC have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five games.
Side that deals with pressure better will have the edge
Lusitania's approach:
This looks a classic case of a possession-based side against a pressing side and the team that manages Monday's pressure better will most likely control the result. Lusitania FC are set up in a 3-at-the-back, possession-first shell with the wing-backs pushing high by Pedro Miguel, and the ball on the ground will not be a problem for them.
Porto B's approach:
However, Porto B will pounce on any loose touches in the middle of the park and this could turn into a chess match quite quickly. In contrast, Joao Brandao's side are a high-octane 4-3-3 that plays with pace and vertical thrust, their aggressive counter-press is relentless and they will be chasing turnovers like mad. However, they can be rattled on the road and will have to play at their best to beat the hosts.
Hosts have a recent edge over Porto B
Lusitania FC are the favorites here and will be buoyed by a 1-1 draw from the reverse fixture at this ground just three months ago. They are in poor form, however, with three defeats in their last five matches, but they could be a value bet in this spot at around 2.22.
Porto B are in better form with three straight wins, but we're going to take the home side to just edge this one on their home field.
- Lusitania FC are 2-1-2 at home across all competitions this season, scoring 1.00 goals and conceding 1.20 per game.
- Porto B have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 on the road this term, conceding 1.60 goals per game, so they don't have the best record on their travels.
Back the draw or the visitors
While Lusitania FC will be delighted with their odds, we are going to steer clear of the hosts here because they have been in such poor form of late. They've won two, drawn three and lost five across their last ten in all competitions, which is a wobble that needs a reset.
However, we can't ignore Porto B's winning streak and the fact they are the sharper of the two sides at this moment in time. So we're having a small play on Porto B to get the win here, but the main selection is on Under 2.5 goals at 1.72 and Both Teams to Score – No at 1.91 to go with the cagey feeling we have about this one.
Miguel Pereira is Lusitania FC's main man with two goals in his last five appearances, and they will need another player to step up if they are to get the three points.
