- Odds: Flamengo are the favorites at 1.84 to beat Mirassol, who are 4.2 with the draw at 3.45.
- Standings: Mirassol are 15th in Serie A 2026 with 23 points from 21 games.
Back Flamengo for the win
Flamengo RJ are the clear favorites to beat 15th-placed Mirassol FC on Sunday, but that is likely because the bookmakers are taking the safe option and backing Flamengo's status as the bigger, better and more successful of the two sides. Flamengo's away record of 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in Serie A 2026 and their better overall position in the table has them as the likelier winner here, but the odds suggest this could be a much tighter matchup than the bookies are suggesting.
Mirassol have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their 11 home games in Serie A 2026, conceding just 13 goals in total, which makes them a hard nut to crack on their own patch.
Mirassol can make it tough
Tactical approach:
And that can make Flamengo's task on Sunday a little trickier than it looks on paper. Rafael Guanaes' men play a vertical, high-tempo style of soccer with players who can hurt you when they get behind your defensive line, usually on the flanks where they press and turn opponents in numbers.
Leonardo Jardim's men are a different type of outfit. They are very well-organised and very versatile. They like to control possession but they will also play vertically in bursts and have the ability to hurt teams on the break.
Form and recent results:
Flamengo have a little more to give in terms of overall quality and they have been a lot more consistent this season, which is why they are 2nd in the Serie A 2026 table with 42 points from 21 matches. In contrast, Mirassol are 15th with just 23 points from the same number of games, so this is more of a survival-and-soak-up-the-pressure type of game.
- Mirassol are the inferior team on paper and they come into the game in worse form with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 games.
- Their most recent 2 matches have both been away defeats – 1-0 to Gremio in the Copa do Brasil 2026 and 3-1 to Cruzeiro in Serie A 2026.
- Flamengo are in good shape with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 and beat EC Vitoria 2-0 at home in their most recent match before a 1-1 draw away at SC Internacional RS.
Both teams to score — no looks likely
Samuel Dias Lino has been Flamengo's spark recently, scoring 2 of their 6 goals in the last 5 matches, but Flamengo should have the quality in the front third to punish Mirassol on the counter attack.
Flamengo have scored an average of 1.82 goals per game on the road in Serie A 2026 while conceding just 0.91 per game, so the Under 2.5 goals market looks like a solid play at 1.73 alongside Both Teams to Score — No at 1.8.
