- Away form: CF Atlante have scored four goals in their five away matches across all competitions.
- Home scoring: Necaxa have scored an average of 1.20 goals per match across their 5 home games.
- Home form: Necaxa are unbeaten in their last three home matches, winning 1 and drawing 2.
Chess match brewing on Friday
Necaxa are favored for their home game against CF Atlante at Estadio Victoria, Mexico on Friday, but the bookies have been a bit conservative and I cannot see much value in backing the hosts at 1.8. The draw at 3.78 looks too big here, but my main play will be on both teams to score (1.59) and over 2.5 goals (1.64).
Necaxa are a tough team to trust for 90 minutes but they can grind out a result and they have managed to keep two consecutive home draws with a pair of very good teams.
Necaxa's recent 5-match form is 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats and they have not quite been holding momentum in their favour.
- They drew 1-1 at home to Club Tigres de la UANL, and 0-0 with CD Chivas de Guadalajara, and then lost 4-1 away to the free-scoring Cruz Azul.
Atlante have a little more bite
Recent results
CF Atlante's most recent 5-match result sequence is 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, but they have looked a little sharper in the key areas. Their 2-0 home win against CD Tepatitlan de Morelos was followed by a 2-0 defeat away to the same side in the Liga de Expansion MX – Playoffs 2026.
Form and tactics
Their overall form across their last 10 across all competitions looks slightly better at 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Necaxa have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats across their most recent 10 matches.
Martín Varini's side are an compact, midfield-based soccer team that like to control the middle, set up a defensive block and spring forward with speed. Miguel Fuentes' Atlante are a more direct side with a bit more width and tempo, so I expect this to be a chess match on Friday.
Tomas Badaloni the spark
Tomas Badaloni has been Necaxa's spark with 2 goals in their last 5, he is the main spark in a side that has only scored five times in that span.
CF Atlante have looked more prolific in their recent results, but they have also struggled on the road with no win in two.
If Necaxa have the momentum and the home advantage, they are more likely to nick the game, but I think this is a very close fixture and the odds tell us that. CF Atlante's return of 4 goals in five away matches across all competitions is not good and they are a patchy traveller.
However, with Atlante coming back to the top-tier and this fixture usually carrying a rivalry edge, there is a legitimate edge to this game.
