- Head-to-head: Hajduk Split have won 2 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings and beat Gorica 1-0 in the most recent encounter 3 months ago.
- Home/Away form: Gorica have lost their only home game, whereas Hajduk are looking to win their first away game of the HNL 2026/2027 season after 1 trip away.
- Player form: Bruno Bogojevic has scored 1 goal in 2 HNL 2026/2027 appearances for Gorica and 2 of their last 3 goals in all competitions.
Goals at a premium in Slovenia
Hajduk are the clear bookmakers' favorites at 1.82 for Sunday's HNL 2026/2027 clash against Gorica, but with the hosts set at 3.95 and the tie at 3.68, we feel this one should be much closer.
After an incredible 2-5 victory away to FK Zalgiris Vilnius in UEFA Conference League qualifying, Hajduk fell to a disappointing 2-2 draw at home to Istra on matchday two of the HNL 2026/2027, so their form looks mixed on paper (W2, D1, L2). Gorica's form is worse, however, after a run of 1 win and 4 defeats across the most recent 5, including 4 consecutive defeats ahead of this Sunday's game.
Back the Under in a cagey matchup
Tactical setup
Gonzalo Garcia has Hajduk set up in a more attack-minded 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 formation that promotes structured build-up play, wide overloads and proactive pressing, whereas Mario Carević has Gorica set up in a more compact 3-4-3 system that is designed for defensive discipline and quick vertical counters.
That contrast in styles should make for an interesting midfield clash and see Hajduk trying to keep Gorica bottled up while their hosts try to pick them off on transition and set-pieces.
Betting angle
This game has 'unders' written all over it and we're recommending Under 2.5 goals at 1.95. Gorica have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 at home, and Hajduk are yet to win away in the HNL 2026/2027, so this should be cagey.
Both Teams to Score Yes at 1.71 is also slightly favored, so we'll take that in the exact score market. Gorica have averaged 1.0 goals against Hajduk across the 5 head-to-heads played on home soil, whereas the visitors have averaged 1.3 away goals in that period.
A one-goal game
Our fancy is for the most likely scorers on each side to make the difference and we're going for a 0-1 Hajduk result in the correct score market. Despite their favorite status, the odds on the visitors are a little short considering their mixed form, so we're leaning towards a single goal decision.
- Gorica were beaten 0-2 by Osijek in their only home game of the HNL 2026/2027 to date, conceding 2.00 goals per game at their own ground.
- Hajduk have conceded 2.00 goals per away game, so we're expecting a 0-1 result.
- Bruno Bogojevic will be Gorica's spark in this one, Luka Vrzic has been busy in the first 2 games of the HNL 2026/2027, providing 1 assist, while Rokas Pukstas and Michele Sego provide a strong offensive threat for Hajduk.
