- Prediction: Castellon are the favourites, despite Real Sociedad B's home record, but the hosts are still in the game.
- Recent form: The hosts are winless in 4 home games across all competitions, while Castellon have won two, drawn two and lost two of their last six away matches.
- H2H: The last 4 meetings are split with 1 win each and 2 draws, so this is not a one-way fixture.
A draw with a slight lean to the visitors
The bookmakers have Castellon as the favorites at 1.78 with Real Sociedad B at 4.0 and the draw at 3.85 when they meet at Estadio Zubieta XXI, Spain, on Friday in a game that will be much more open than the odds suggest.
Ion Ansotegui has his charges set up in either a 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2 formation that is set up to play out from the back, but with a good counter press after the ball has been lost, which is what happened in the 3-1 away defeat to Albacete last time out.
- The 1-1 draw with Cultural Leonesa was a step in the right direction, but Real Sociedad B's overall form is patchy, having taken just 1 win, 4 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 games across all competitions.
- Pablo Hernández's men are a little bit more solid across the board with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10, but there are still some leaks that need to be fixed as the last 3 games demonstrate.
- A 3-2 away defeat to Almeria in the LaLiga 2 Promotion Playoffs was followed by a 3-3 draw away to Girona and a 3-0 defeat away to Deportivo Alaves in what is a mixed form book.
Castellon’s directness could be decisive
Tactical contrast:
The contrast in the way these two sides play could be the difference here as Real Sociedad B like to play in phases and like to dominate possession and overload the opposition while Castellon's 4-2-3-1 is more geared for verticality and depth and will attempt to knife through the spaces left by Sociedad B.
Castellon are the more likely winners on paper, but I can't get away from the fact that Sociedad B are winless in 4 at home (2 draws, 2 defeats) and the head-to-head is tight, so this has the feel of a game that could go either way.
Scoring and market outlook:
The market is certainly expecting goals here, with Over 2.5 at 1.65 and Both Teams to Score – Yes at 1.6 looking very good, but neither side has been particularly prolific of late.
Real Sociedad B have only scored 3 goals in their last 4 at home across all competitions and they have been a bit blunt on their own patch, while Castellon are averaging 1.67 goals per away game in all competitions this season with 10 goals on the road giving them a real bite in transition.
Castellon have won only 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 away matches, so they are competitive on the road, but are perhaps a little inconsistent. The previous matchup was won by Real Sociedad B 4-2 in LaLiga 2 2025/2026 five months ago, which shows that this game can open up quickly, so take the visitors to win in a relatively tight game.
