- Riga form: Riga FC have won three and drawn two of their last five matches across all competitions.
- Jablonec form: Jablonec have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five games across all competitions.
- Home record: Riga FC are unbeaten at home in the UEFA Conference League – league phase, but the only game played there thus far was tied.
Tight contest with Riga FC favourites
Riga FC travel to Skonto Stadium on Thursday night looking to lift-off in Europe where they have picked up just two points from two matches to leave them 20th in the UEFA Conference League – league phase. Jablonec have picked up only one point from their two matches to date and lie 24th in the same standings.
Riga FC are fresh from a 1-1 away draw at Pafos FC in the UEFA Conference League – league phase, and a 5-2 away win over SC Grobinas in the Virsliga to keep the momentum going. Adrián Guľa has led the team since January 2025 and he has created a flexible and fast team that can play either 4-2-3-1 or 3-5-2.
Jablonec are an easy team to play against in a 4-2-3-1 system that keeps things tight and narrow with regular switches of play that can leave gaps at the edge of the penalty area. They are compact, disciplined and can be quick in transition, which is what Luboš Kozel has done with them since taking charge in July 2024.
Jablonec’s counterpunch might find a gap
Tactical outlook
So, this looks like a battle of possession versus transition. Riga will look to stretch the play and Jablonec will try to punish turnovers.
The Jablonec counterpunch could do a lot of damage in this game if it plays out as expected.
- Mohamed Badamosi has been their main spark, but Mladen Škvarka isn't anything like the quality of Jablonec's main spark – Sebastian Nebyla, who can make things happen.
- Jablonec have scored an average of 2.00 away goals in the UEFA Conference League – league phase so they can make this a lively contest if the game opens up.
Predictions and betting
Riga FC are the slight favorite to win this one at 2.32, with Jablonec at 2.92 and the draw at 3.4. It's close enough to be a toss-up, but we will just about take Riga to win this at home in Latvia.
A 'both teams to score – yes' bet looks a good fit for this matchup at 1.7, but 'over 2.5 goals' at 1.91 suggests this game is going to be a lively scrap.