- Away form: SSD Monza 1912 have won 7, drawn 6 and lost 4 of their 17 away Serie B games in 2025-2026.
- Home form: Sampdoria have won 8, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their 17 home Serie B matches in 2025-2026.
- Head-to-head: SSD Monza 1912 have won 1 and drawn 1 of their 2 Serie B head-to-head meetings with Sampdoria, winning 1-0 6 months ago.
Prudent approach to dominate Sampdoria vs Monza
Second placed SSD Monza 1912 have 69 points from 34 games in Serie B, 29 more than 12th-placed Sampdoria, who have played the same number of games. Paolo Bianco’s Monza are favourites to win on Friday night at odds of 2.2 as they bid to continue a promotion push which has been in full swing since he took over in July 2025.
Bianco’s men are unbeaten in five games, winning two and drawing three, and haven’t lost either of their last two away. Sampdoria’s form is also strong with three wins, one draw and only one defeat in their last five, but they are on a run of three consecutive wins heading into this fixture.
Both sides set up in a 3-4-2-1 or 3-4-3 formation with a similar compact and structured approach to defending, although Sampdoria’s system is more controlled and pragmatic than Monza’s faster-paced, vertical style of play.
Monza more likely to break through against Samp
Tactical setup
Attilio Lombardo has brought a shrewd, organized style to Sampdoria’s play since taking over in March 2026 with his side scoring 21 goals in 17 Serie B home games, not a huge amount, but enough to win a few games.
Monza attack
They have scored 22 away goals in total, but it is their ability to hurt Sampdoria on the counter that could see them edge this closely contested match.
- Massimo Coda is his central striker and best goalscorer with nine in 26 games.
- Monza’s 1.29 goals per game average away from home this season looks about right for the type of game this could become.
- Matteo Pessina has scored three of the last seven Monza goals, but Andrea Petagna is still the spearhead of the team, preferring to play as a number nine and spearhead their vertical attacks.
Tactical battle and prediction
The clash of two similar back three systems will make the wingback duels and half-space battles crucial to this game, but Monza’s superior away record and current form suggests they can get the better of a compact Sampdoria defensive block.
It’s hard to see both teams scoring in this one as they are equally happy to sit deep and counterattack, so we’re taking the odds of 1.84 for BTTS - No in this game and under 2.5 goals at 1.66.
