- Team form: San Martin Tucuman has won one and lost one of their last two home games.
- Away form: Quilmes Atletico Club has failed to win either of their last two away games (D1, L1).
- Head-to-head: San Martin has not lost to Quilmes in the last two meetings (W1, D1).
Quilmes lack consistency under new boss
Form and standings
San Martin Tucuman have had a very poor run of late with three consecutive defeats in Primera Nacional 2026, including a 0-1 loss to relegation battlers CA Atlanta at home. They are 14th in the table with 21 points from their 15 games, four ahead of Quilmes Atletico Club who are 24th with 17.
Coach and tactics
Andres Yllana, who took over as head coach in December 2025, has tried to get his players to be compact, press selectively and counter-attack with pace, but a lack of quality and some tactical inconsistencies have been costly. His team has been relatively solid at home, however, winning three, drawing four and losing just one of eight Primera Nacional 2026 games with only five goals conceded.
Diellos to decide cagey matchup
Quilmes boss Leandro Gracian, who took over in March 2026, has attempted to get his side to play through the middle of the park and create their chances through a central pivot. He has lacked consistency in applying this system, however, which has hurt results. His team has won only one, drawn two and lost two of their last five, including a 2-0 win over Atletico Rafaela and a 0-0 draw away to Agropecuario.
The odds for this game to finish with under 2.5 goals is 1.28, which seems very tight given neither team is scoring or conceding many of late, while both teams not to score is even shorter at 1.44. We feel there will be a winner in this game as some part of it is a chess match between San Martin’s width and Quilmes’ midfield control. San Martin are due a win and with home advantage will have the edge over a team that has won only once, drawn two and lost five of their eight away games in Primera Nacional 2026.
The home team has conceded only 5 goals in 8 home matches while Quilmes has scored an average of 0.88 per game and let in 1.12 on the road. That’s why we are taking the home favorite at 1.9 for a game that will likely be decided by whichever team is the more defensively disciplined and has the sharpness to grab the goal that wins it.
- Diego Diellos, with four Primera Nacional 2026 goals in 13 games, is San Martin’s top scorer while Quilmes' Agustin Lavezzi has the same record in 15 appearances for the visitors.
