- Recent form: Sarmiento have won one of their last five games, losing four, and have lost two of their last three at home.
- Away form: Independiente Rivadavia have won three of their last five, drawing one and losing once, and are unbeaten in one away in the Liga Profesional – Clausura 2026.
- Home/Away summary: Sarmiento have won zero home games in the Liga Profesional – Clausura 2026, while Independiente Rivadavia are unbeaten in the one away game they've played.
Sava’s side have a survival-first edge
Sarmiento have made a poor start to the Liga Profesional – Clausura 2026, sitting 19th on 0 points from one match played, while Independiente Rivadavia are 18th after taking one point from one game.
The visitors are the slight favorites in the market at 2.35, with Sarmiento 3.15 and the draw at 3.05, which seems odd given that the hosts have lost their last two games and Independiente are in better form.
Indeed, Facundo Sava's men have won once and lost four of their last five in all competitions, going down 2-0 at home to Boca Juniors in the Copa Argentina 2026 before losing 2-3 to Argentinos Juniors in their opening Clausura league fixture.
Independiente, meanwhile, have won three of their last five, losing once, following up a 1-0 home win over Tigre in the cup with a 0-0 away draw at Atletico Tucuman in the Clausura.
Rivadavia can keep it tight and cagey
Tactical battle
This will be a clash of styles between a survival-first team in Sarmiento, who mix moments of pressing with direct, vertical runs, and an Independiente Rivadavia side that plays through the middle and creates combinations in order to control the game.
The visitors look the more polished of the two teams with Berti having settled on a clear identity since his appointment as head coach on 27 August 2024. His men dictate tempo through clever combinations in midfield and will look to create overloads against the host's narrow midfield.
Players and recent meetings
Under 2.5 goals is 1.48 and BTTS — No is 1.62, but we're going with the slight favorite Independiente Rivadavia to win this close game, although we're taking a smaller stake on the draw.
- Sava has been true to his nature in the early exchanges, sticking with a compact 4-4-2 system that allows his side to clog up the middle, while Cristián Zabala provides the creative spark, with one assist in one game for his team this season.
- Junior Marabel has been Sarmiento's most trusted finisher, scoring one goal in his one appearance in the Liga Profesional – Clausura 2026, while Independiente Rivadavia's danger man is Alex Arce, who has three goals in his last five appearances, with his team finding the net nine times in total during that run.
- Independiente Rivadavia have won the last two head-to-head matchups, beating Sarmiento 2-1 at home in the Apertura 2026, and given the hosts are yet to win at home in this Clausura season, we're confident they can at least keep the spoils with the confidence-boosting result.
