- Freiburg form: Freiburg have won four and lost one of their last five games in all competitions, including a 3-0 victory at Celta de Vigo and a 1-0 win away at Mainz.
- Heidenheim form: Heidenheim have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five in the Bundesliga, including a 2-2 draw away at Borussia Moenchengladbach and a 3-1 home victory over Union Berlin.
- Standings: SC Freiburg are 8th in the Bundesliga on 40 points from 29 matches, while FC Heidenheim 1846 are 18th with 19 points after the same number of games.
Freiburg have the firepower to outgun Heidenheim
Freiburg's progress and attack
SC Freiburg will probably be a lot closer to European qualification next season if the new manager Julian Schuster, in place since July 2024, continues to develop the squad in the way he has since taking over. Schuster has brought a bit more structure and some clever transitions to Freiburg’s play, but still has the quality to cut loose in front of goal on occasions when the wide build-up, set-piece and counter-attacking play clicks.
Igor Matanovic is their top scorer in the Bundesliga with eight goals in 26 appearances and Lucas Höler and Ritsu Doan can provide the creative spark and pressing energy that takes some of the burden off their striker.
Heidenheim's threat and tactics
Heidenheim are still the most dangerous side in the Bundesliga when they go forward, even if the stats do not show it. Stefan Schimmer has been their most reliable goal-scorer this season with five Bundesliga goals in 22 games, but teammates can provide the quality to start attacks from wide areas or to provide a goal when he gets on the end of a clever pass.
Heidenheim manager Frank Schmidt has been a tactically versatile manager since taking over in 2007. He has enough experience to make his side as compact and shape-first as possible in order to frustrate Freiburg and enough belief in their own counter-attacking ability to take some calculated risks. Schmidt will set up his side to try and shut Freiburg out and then hit them on the counter-attack.
Heidenheim haven’t won in their last two trips to Freiburg
The last head-to-head meeting saw Heidenheim win 2-1 at home, but their recent away form is still not good enough to beat Freiburg, who have won two and lost one of their last three games at home.
Heidenheim have won just one, drawn two and lost 11 of their 14 Bundesliga away games, so we don’t rate their chances of getting any points in this game. Freiburg’s home record includes seven wins, four draws and only three defeats from 14 matches in the Bundesliga, so they are worth their 1.7 odds to take all three points on Sunday.
The odds of 1.68 for over 2.5 goals look fair enough, but the both teams to score price of 1.62 is not.
- In their last five Bundesliga meetings, both teams have won twice and drawn once.
- Freiburg score an average of 1.86 goals per home match, which tallies with 26 goals scored in 14 home games, so we fancy them to score more than the 2.07 goals per match that Heidenheim are conceding on the road.
- And Heidenheim score 0.79 per away game, which is why we think there will be goals at both ends of the field in this clash between possession-based Freiburg and their defensive-minded visitors.
