- Team form: Sport Boys are unbeaten at home in Liga 1 – Clausura 2026 (W2, D1).
- Away form: Sporting Cristal Lima have lost two of their three away games in Liga 1 – Clausura 2026, conceding 6 goals at a rate of 2.00 per game.
- Scoring trends: Sport Boys have scored eight goals in their last three home games and Sporting Cristal Lima have scored five times in their last two fixtures.
Home-field advantage should keep this close
Sport Boys (3rd, 11pts from six games) and Sporting Cristal Lima (5th, 10pts) are close at the top end of the Clausura table, but a run of three wins and two draws in their last five games gives the home side some momentum for the clash. Los rosados have won two and drawn one of their three home fixtures in the Clausura, scoring eight times.
Carlos Desio's team have a compact 4-2-3-1 set-up that sits deep, is hard to crack and can counter quickly with numbers up when opportunities arise.
Los celestes are set up in a 4-3-3 system with more possession than they used to have in the previous regime with Roberto Mosquera at the helm. They play with width and make rapid combinations to push opponents back and create goals.
But the visitors have been dodgy on the road in the Clausura, with a 1-1 draw away at Club Deportivo Moquegua and a 3-1 defeat to Alianza Atletico.
Los celestes did hammer Sport Huancayo 4-1 in their most recent home game, but that result hasn't altered their pressure on the road and it could be a close game on Sunday.
- Pablo Erustes is their main threat with four goals in six appearances in the league and four of the last 10 Boys goals in the last five matches.
- Michael Hoyos has three goals in Sporting Cristal Lima's six Clausura games and three of their last eight in the competition.
- Sporting Cristal Lima are the overall better team and have won the previous two meetings in Liga 1, beating Sport Boys 3-0 at home in the Apertura five months ago.
Take Sporting Cristal to dominate, but not to win
Odds
The visitors are a slight favorite at 2.54, with Sport Boys at 2.62 and the draw at 3.4.
Prediction
We believe the home-field edge could just make the difference in this game, although Cristal may well dominate and should be creating enough to get the win. But Boys will grab chances to score from set pieces and counter attacks.
That's why we are going to take the wager of Both Teams to Score at 1.67 in a game where the control versus counter dynamic is obvious.
