- Home form: Västerås have won two of their last two home games, but Kalmar have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last two away matches.
- League positions: Västerås (25pts) are above Kalmar (18pts) in Allsvenskan 2026.
- Head-to-head: These sides have split the last three H2H matches (W1, D1, L1) and Kalmar are winless from their last two away games in this fixture.
Västerås should win on home field
The odds are slightly in favour of Västerås SK FK (2.62) ahead of Sunday's visit of Kalmar FF (2.45) to Hitachi Energy Arena, but our selection is the tie at 3.5, as Västerås have more to gain and are in better form overall.
Västerås enter this contest in mixed form after two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five, however, Alexander Rubin's men did sneak a 1-0 win at home to Djurgården, an opponent that they might be expected to beat.
Rubin has been at the helm since 1 January 2026 and his side has a structured approach, but they've also embraced a more direct, transition-based style that should suit the hosts as they have the width and pace to open the game up when they turn over their opponents.
An away goal could swing the result
Host attack
They score 1.88 goals per home game on average in Allsvenskan 2026 and have some decent finishers to get on the end of those chances, although no one more so than Mikkel Ladefoged, who has the ability to score a goal and win games. The Dane has scored ten goals in 14 league games this season.
Visitors' setup
Kalmar will set up to frustrate the hosts and control the space, but Toni Koskela has built a disciplined side that can hurt the opposition on the counter-attack, such is the nature of their 4-4-2 system. The Smålands stolthet are in poor form however with just one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five matches and are currently on a two-match losing streak.
The draw looks like the value
Overall, I expect the visitors to keep it tight and stop Västerås' attacks, but they've been poor on the road this term, so the home team look the likelier winner.
Kalmar's away record in Allsvenskan 2026 is one of the worst, with just 0.88 goals per game scored and 2.12 conceded across their eight away games so far (D1, L7). They do have Charlie Rosenqvist leading the line with seven goals in 17 Allsvenskan 2026 appearances, which makes him a reliable finisher, and they have another seven assists in 17 games through Charles Sagoe Jr., who can provide the creative spark.
However, Kalmar's defensive discipline means this has the potential to be a tight and gritty game, so I'm taking the draw with both sides' recent records at this venue and over 2.5 goals and both teams to score at 1.83 and 1.62, respectively, suggesting an open game with chances at both ends.
