- Team form: Viktoria Koln 1904 have won only one of their last four home matches in all competitions, averaging 0.75 goals per game.
- Away defence: SSV Jahn Regensburg have conceded ten on the road in all competitions.
- Player form: Eric Hottmann has scored five of Jahn's last seven goals in the last five games, so he is on a hot streak in front of goal.
Jahn should justify slight favouritism against Viktoria
Form and recent results
SSV Jahn Regensburg should be able to edge a close game against Viktoria Köln 1904 on Saturday as they come into this one on the back of some good form, but the home side will have their chances and it could end up being a close affair. Viktoria's form is almost identical to Regensburg, with both teams having the same record of five wins, one draw and four defeats in their last ten in all competitions.
But the Bavarians have a better record of late with three wins and two defeats in their last five, and that sequence has seen them bounce back from a 0-1 home loss to Energie Cottbus in 3.Liga with a 4-2 away victory at SV Ried.
Tactical approaches
Marian Wilhelm has set Viktoria up to play an adaptive, possession-based style of soccer with clear structures for build-up play, plenty of rotations in the midfield and quick recycling of the ball when they want to press their opponents. Sascha Hildmann's men play a high-tempo game too, but they are more of a mentality-based side with some brilliant counter-pressing to lock defenders in their own half and a love for fast forward transitions to counter any team that plays on the front foot.
Regensburg will test Viktoria's build-up approach as much as they like with their pressing traps, but the hosts' positional play will also be able to pull Jahn out of shape if they can break through the first press.
Both teams to score looks a good bet
This looks like a game that the visitors should edge, but not in a runaway, as Viktoria are fully live at home, so take the draw.
Both teams to score at 1.4 is a bit of a favorite, but we can still squeeze it into the strategy here because both can land some blows in this one.
The last three meetings between the clubs in 3.Liga have resulted in one victory for Viktoria, two draws and no wins for Jahn, but the away side hasn't won on either of their previous two visits to this venue. Their most recent clash in 3. Liga finished 0-0, which isn't a prediction that really suits the action we anticipate on Saturday.
- The home team are priced at 2.55 and Jahn are 2.5, so the draw is 3.55.
- We're taking over 2.5 goals at 1.5 as the main bet because both sides can definitely score in a high-tempo encounter in which they will both have periods of ascendancy.
