Vitoria Guimaraes

vs

Nacional Madeira Funchal

Tips, Stats and Odds

Vitoria Guimaraes have started Primeira Liga 2026/2027 in dismal fashion, sitting 17th with 0 points after 2 games. The Conquistadores will be eager to improve their position with a victory on Sunday when they host Nacional Madeira Funchal, who have made a solid start to the new campaign, sitting 2nd in the table with 4 points from 2 games.

Tiago Margarido's side have looked lively since their manager took over, playing with a bit more aggression and winning more duels than they have in previous campaigns. Their shape is either a 4-2-3-1 or a 4-3-3 and they build most of their attacks from midfield before transitioning quickly into sharp vertical runs.

Nacional have shown their ability to be compact and adaptable in the early stages of their new identity, sitting in a compact block and being dangerous in transition. Joao Giao's men have lost 1 of their last 5 games, with 3 draws and 1 win making up the rest of their results. They beat Vitoria 2-0 in the 2 sides last meeting in Primeira Liga 2025/2026, although that result came on the road.

Although Vitoria are the favorites at 1.72, with the draw at 3.9 and Nacional at 4.8, the recent form of both teams leaves a lot to be desired. The home side have been in poor form and Nacional have looked solid enough to get something from this game.

The key matchup here will be between Vitoria's controlled possession and Nacional's compact counter-attacking approach, which should lead to a cagey matchup rather than a blowout. Nacional are certainly not a high-scoring side, but with Vitoria looking shaky at home, both teams to score at 1.82 looks a strong bet.