- Inter Miami CF have won 4 of their last 5 matches, losing 1.
- CF Montreal are unbeaten in their last 2 games, winning 1 and drawing 1.
- Miami have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their 9 MLS 2026 away games.
An all-time classic clash of styles
With Inter Miami CF currently 4th in MLS 2026 with 31 points from 15 games and CF Montreal 24th with 15 points from 15 matches, it is only natural that the visitors arrive at Saputo Stadium on Saturday as the slight favourites at 2.02 against Montreal's 3.0 odds.
That said, a 4.1 draw seems too long to me for a game that both teams have a chance of winning and the numbers lean towards goals.
CF Montreal are having a hard time in MLS 2026 and the club's new manager, Philippe Eullaffroy, who has been at the helm since 12 April 2026, has been trying to carve out a more structured, more zonal identity than that of his predecessor. This team is still very compact, sitting in a narrow 4-2-3-1 most of the time and playing with a pragmatic, measured build-up but with a dash of verticality when the chance arises.
Prince Osei Owusu has been the most influential player on the pitch for the Canadian club, leading their MLS 2026 scoring charts with 9 goals in 14 matches. He has 4 goals in Montreal's last 5 matches, a period in which they've found the net 7 times, won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1.
Miami’s momentum is with them
Inter Miami CF's star player is, of course, Lionel Messi, who tops the team's MLS 2026 scoring chart with 12 goals in 14 games. But his contributions as a playmaker have been equally as valuable, particularly in their recent 5 matches when he has 7 assists and his team have scored 19 goals.
Angel Guillermo Hoyos took charge of the club on 15 April 2026 and has moulded the team around his elite creators. Miami have the numbers to play a possession game, but their preferred 4-2-3-1 can easily morph into a 4-3-3 when they want to overload a side around their No.10 or get on the front foot. It is a style that lends itself to a few transitions and the odd goal if the opposition get their own chance.
Hoyos' men have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, which includes a 2-0 win at home to the Portland Timbers and a 6-4 win in a shootout against the Philadelphia Union. Away from home in MLS 2026, Miami have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 1, which explains why they are travelling north as a title contender.
The draw and goals look good
The main selection will be Inter Miami CF to win in the match betting as the visitors are the form team and are rightly the favourites. But CF Montreal are a compact unit who have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their 7 MLS 2026 home matches, conceding just 7 goals in 7 fixtures.
The last meeting in USA MLS 2025 was won by Inter Miami CF 4-1 away from home, which is a clear statement of intent from the Floridians. However, Montreal are a different team in 2026 and they have a good record against Miami, winning 2 of their 5 clashes and losing 3, with no draws in the sequence.
As such, Miami are the more likely winners, but Montreal will have enough structure and fight to make this a close game in the Canadian cold.
Over 2.5 goals looks too low for a Miami game, but it seems to be the only number that makes sense here, so I will take that at 1.35 along with Both Teams to Score Yes at 1.33.
