- FC Drita Gjilan are the clear favourites at 1.21, SP Tre Fiori are 5.7 and the draw is 5.7.
- Drita are the form side having won 2 in a row, with Tre Fiori losing 4 in a row.
- Drita beat Tre Fiori 4-1 away from home in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026.
Drita are the favourites and the form team
FC Drita will be very happy to get the 4-1 win over SP Tre Fiori out of the way after the first leg of their UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 tie. Besnik Krasniqi has been Drita's best player so far in this competition, scoring 2 goals in 3 appearances, but it was Matteo Prandelli who scored Tre Fiori's only goal, his sole goal in 1 appearance in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026.
Zekirija Ramadani has been the coach of Drita since November 2023 and he has clearly got the team well-drilled, disciplined and ready for big games. They are a flexible side that can play a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 and they will use the big midfielder to anchor the midfield and the two, or three, attacking players to hurt teams on the counter. Their last ten games in all competitions reads W5, D2 and L3.
Tre Fiori are struggling to find any rhythm
Danilo Girolomoni's Tre Fiori have been poor. They have lost 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5 games and it's hard to see how they can get back into this tie after the second-leg clash in Kosovo on Thursday. Their most recent game was a 2-1 defeat to Larne in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026 last week, and they also suffered a 4-1 home defeat to Drita last week.
Girolomoni has been the boss since July 2024 and he has built a solid and compact team that sits deep, packs the middle of the park in a 3-5-2 or 4-5-1. They can make it very difficult for the opposition to break them down, but they don't have a real cutting edge and are in danger of being overrun by the stronger side on the night.
The odds don’t reflect the reality
Drita are a very solid and well-organised side that can lock up the opposition, but we cannot have them at 1.21, or Tre Fiori at 5.7, for this matchup. We are going with Drita, who are the only team with a win in this matchup, to snag the points again here. The market has the draw at 5.7, which is also impossible to pass up given that Drita can control the play and Tre Fiori need to sit back and wait for the set-piece.
Drita have conceded just 6 goals in 6 home games in all competitions, which is a very tidy 1.00 per game. Tre Fiori have conceded only 2 goals in 3 away games in all competitions so they can sit in and make it tough for Drita, which is why we are taking a Drita win to nil here. The game is likely to be tight, but BTTS-No is shorter than BTTS-Yes at 1.55 and Under 2.5 goals is also favoured at 2.25.
