- Head-to-head: Blackburn have won three of the last five Championship 2026/2027 head-to-heads and beat Millwall 2-1 away from home five months ago.
- Home form: Blackburn have won one and lost one of their two Championship 2026/2027 home games, scoring 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.50 goals per game.
- Away form: Millwall have won one and lost one of their two Championship 2026/2027 away games, conceding an average of 2.50 goals per away match.
Lions’ recent swings highlight the volatility of the early-season
Form and odds:
Blackburn Rovers sit 16th in the Championship 2026/2027 with five points from five games after a shaky start to the season, leaving them looking over their shoulder at the relegation zone, although Millwall are already making a top-six challenge in 7th with nine points from their first five games. Rovers have won just one of their last five in all competitions (W1, D1, L3) and Millwall have won three and lost two (W3, L2) across the same period, so the Lions arrive at Ewood Park as slight favorites at 2.32, although the hosts are a bigger price at 2.92 and the draw at 3.4 looks a bit low too.
Tactical matchup:
Tony Mowbray has built the Rovers around ball control, possession and attacking from the flanks with more width from the full-backs in 2026/2027. He also has Rovers pressing more when they time it right, so this should be an interesting clash as Alex Neil's Millwall have been rather pragmatic and direct.
Neil has them playing compact with a real defensive block and his best players can punish teams on the counterattack with real pace.
Recent swings:
Millwall's last two Championship 2026/2027 games have seen them swing from a 3-0 defeat at home to Wrexham to a 4-0 win at home to Bolton Wanderers and their all-or-nothing style should suit the Lions at Ewood on Saturday. A head-to-head tilt has also been a strong predictor of the result in this fixture in recent times, so Millwall have to work for it on Saturday.
Millwall to misfire at Ewood
Under 2.5 goals at 1.83 makes the most sense for this clash as it is likely to be cagey with plenty of transitions. Rovers will want the ball but the visitors will want to break them down and punish any turnovers as a cagey game with plenty of tempo changes seems more likely than a shootout.
- Andri Gudjohnsen has hit two goals in five Championship 2026/2027 games to top-score for the hosts while Josh Coburn has two goals in four for Millwall and is their most likely to cause problems, especially on the transition.
- We predict that Millwall will be a little disappointed to take anything from Ewood Park as Rovers have the edge in the recent head-to-heads and haven't lost in their last three home games against the Lions in the Championship 2026/2027.
- However, Rovers don't bring much momentum into this after their most recent two results, a 0-0 draw at Lincoln City and a 2-1 defeat at Preston North End.
