- Millwall have won two of the last three head-to-head home meetings with Norwich City.
- Millwall have four wins, two draws and four losses in their last ten matches (all competitions). Norwich have four wins, three draws and three losses over their last ten.
- Millwall have won their last two matches (1-0 against Royal Antwerp FC and a penalty shoot-out win over Queens Park Rangers after a 1-1 draw) and concede an average of 0.67 goals per-game in their three home games in all competitions this season.
Lions looking to roar in the derby
Millwall are a slight odds-on favourite for this one at 81/100, with Norwich City available at 16/5 and the draw at 13/5, which makes it hard to see any of the markets offering much value. Alex Neil's side have hit their stride over the past fortnight, however, and they will like their chances of winning this one at The Den.
After a lacklustre start, Millwall have put together a two-game winning streak, following up a hard-fought 1-0 win at home to Royal Antwerp FC with a penalty-shoot out victory against Queens Park Rangers. Their two recent victories have given the Lions a bit of momentum heading into this fixture, and their style of play has seemed to suit the occasion of a derby.
Neil's team play a compact, aggressive, direct game with sharper possession phases. It's a compact, aggressive, direct style that is capable of getting on the front foot in the right games and making something happen. It's a game built on sharp possession phases, and it should suit a derbies, which are often won and lost by scrappy and pouncy play.
Canaries have a decent away record this term
Norwich City also have a good record on the road this term, picking up two wins, a draw and a defeat in their four competitive away matches. The Canaries also have a better record than Millwall this campaign, with Philippe Clement's team winning four, drawing three and losing three of their ten matches to date. Norwich have scored an average of 2.00 goals per game on the road, but they will need to be at their best to better that return at The Den.
Millwall have won two of their three games at The Den in all competitions, conceding 0.67 goals-per-game. Clement's side are set up in a 4-2-3-1, with a higher tempo, quicker transitions and more turnovers at a higher field position than Neil's men.
The game for Millwall to win
Norwich City won the most recent H2H 2-1 away from home in Championship 2025/2026, so Millwall cannot afford to switch off at the back. Clement's men are a better side than their recent record suggests, and their form across the last five reads as two wins, two draws and a defeat. They're a bit more of a machine than electric, and they can take the game if they get their timing right.
There is a lean for the home side here, but The Lions aren't quite good enough to make the short price worthwhile. Millwall to win or under 2.5 goals is the cleanest way to play this, and that's how we will approach it. It should be a cagey match, and it could take a moment to settle it.
