- Colorado Rapids have won three of their last four home games.
- Sporting Kansas City have won one and lost four of their last five games.
- Colorado have averaged 2.12 goals per-game at home in MLS 2026, conceding an average of 1.12 goals per-game.
Colorado should have the edge in Denver
Colorado Rapids have made significant strides under Matt Wells who was appointed as head coach on 23 December 2025. They have won three of their last five matches and lost two, which is a solid run for a side that sat 20th in MLS 2026 with 22 points from 18 games heading into the match against Sporting Kansas City who are 29th with 14 points from 18.
Last time these two teams met in MLS 2026 four months ago, Colorado took a trip to Sporting KC and left with a 4-1 victory, an eye-opening result in the context of the overall series, which is locked at 1-1 with no draws played so far.
Their home meetings have averaged 1.5 Rapids goals and 1.5 goals for Sporting KC, but Colorado have won one of the two, so the home side are clearly the more likely winner on Sunday.
Sporting KC are in free-fall
Sporting KC's record in MLS 2026 away games is 2-0-7 and they have only scored 0.78 goals per-game on their travels, which makes them look blunt away from home. Their most recent three matches have been a 2-0 home win, a 4-0 defeat to Los Angeles FC and a 0-2 home defeat to Houston Dynamo FC, so the wheels have started to wobble again after a bright spot.
Raphaël Wicky, who took charge on 5 January 2026, has tried to get Sporting Kansas City playing a possession-based, structured game, with an aggressive counter-press layered on top. This is a press versus possession contest, which could favour Colorado if their high-tempo, high-pressing model can win the ball back cleanly in the opposing half and counter quickly.
Raphael Wicky’s press could be undone by Colorado’s intensity
There is a clear edge to the home team at 49/100, while SKC are a big price at 9/2 and the draw at 18/5 looks like a decent play in a close game. But Colorado Rapids have won 3 of their last 4 at home and could get a foothold early on to dictate the game.
Colorado Rapids have won 5-0-3 at home in MLS 2026 and average 2.12 goals scored and 1.12 conceded, which should see them fare well against a Sporting KC team that have scored 0.78 goals on average away from home. A Colorado Rapids win looks like the most likely outcome of this contest, but SKC's game could make this a bit closer than the odds suggest.
Over 2.5 goals at 12/25 and both teams to score at 57/100 look like good bets, but the Colorado Rapids have the best chance of making it lively.
Rafael Navarro leads Colorado Rapids' MLS 2026 scoring with 7 goals from 18 matches, while Dejan Joveljic leads SKC with 8 from 18. They have both scored two of their respective teams' five goals across the past five games, so they are the sharpest knives in each team's locker and the best picks for a goal at any time.
