- Toronto FC have conceded just 18 goals in 9 home MLS 2026 games (2-5-2 record).
- New England Revolution have won just 1 of their 7 MLS 2026 away matches (2 draws, 4 defeats), scoring just 7 goals in 7 games away.
Canadians to continue good home record
New England Revolution (7th, 30 points after 18 games) travel to Canada to take on Toronto FC (26th, 17 points) at BMO Field on Saturday in what looks an evenly-matched affair on paper.
Thus the league table edges this one away from the home side, albeit not heavily.
The head-to-head is tight in MLS 2026, with the last meeting ending 0-0 in New England and the last two clashes both finishing level. In their last meeting back in May, the teams played out a 0-0 stalemate in New England, so the draw looks a value option.
Contrasting styles and a draw
New England are set up to press and turn opponents over before breaking with pace and width, while Toronto are patient, possession-based and build up patiently with numbers in midfield.
That makes the game style clash a classic control versus press and that's why the draw appeals in this game. Toronto have managed to stay compact and keep the game under control when they've had it but the visitors have the quality to create plenty of turnovers and hit the half-spaces.
Marko Mitrović has certainly made New England sharper in that regard while Toronto's games tend to stay under control under Robin Fraser.
Toronto's form has been mixed-to-poor of late with no wins in their last five (D3, L2) and three straight draws at the hands of New England, DC United and New York City FC.
The home team are available at 28/25, New England at 21/10 and the draw at 13/5, so the hosts are only a slight lean here given New England are just as likely to nick this one.
New England to nick it at BMO
Both teams to score looks live at 11/20, but 13/20 on over 2.5 goals has to be the way to go for this open, transition-heavy game. New England will be the more dangerous of the two, with Carles Gil their chief danger man after netting 7 times already, with 2 more coming in his last 5 appearances, so back the away side to get something from this game.
