- Larne have won their last 2 games, routing Dungannon Swifts 8-0 at home and beating SP Tre Fiori 1-0 away in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026.
- SP Tre Fiori have lost their last 2 matches, a 1-3 home defeat against Fiorita and a 0-1 defeat away to Larne in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026.
Larne looking to finish the job
Gary Haveron has done a brilliant job at Larne since taking over on 15 October 2025. His side are playing with bite and they have flexibility in transition, allowing them to get forward at pace, press intensely and counter with real venom when the ball is won back. Larne's 4-4-2 looks designed to play at a high tempo and this should suit them against a side that will be desperate to keep this one tight and frustrating.
Larne have won their last 2 fixtures, routing Dungannon Swifts 8-0 at Inver Park and beating SP Tre Fiori 1-0 in San Marino in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026. In all competitions, Larne have won 3 and lost 1 of their 4 home matches, averaging 3.25 goals scored per game and 1.25 goals conceded, so they will be keen to get on top of this one and finish the task.
SP Tre Fiori looking to make things difficult
SP Tre Fiori have lost their last 2, but they are a solid side and have done well to make it this far. In all competitions, they are unbeaten away from home in 3, winning all 3. They have averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.00 goals conceded on the road, so they are clearly a threat and cannot be underestimated here.
Danilo Girolomoni has done a great job since he took over as manager on 1 July 2024, moulding SP Tre Fiori into a narrow, deep block, ready to frustrate opponents and punish mistakes on the break or from set pieces. Their 3-4-1-2 is not as cavalier as Larne's, but they have enough quality to keep the Northern Irish side honest.
Larne to win and keep a clean sheet
Larne's overall form is better than SP Tre Fiori's. Across their last 10 in all competitions, SP Tre Fiori have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2, a good run but one that still leaves them behind Larne on paper. The head-to-head also points towards a Larne win here as they won the away leg 1-0.
There are some goals in the bookmakers' odds for this game, with over 2.5 coming in at 7/10 and Both Teams To Score - No at 27/50. That suggests a Larne victory is on the cards and that they could keep a clean sheet.
Matthew Lusty has been in fine form for Larne, scoring 5 goals in their last 5 as they have netted 11 goals. He's also their main threat in this competition so far, scoring 1 in 1 in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026. He can punish SP Tre Fiori here and a Larne win to nil looks a good option.
