- Home form: Asociacion Deportiva Tarma are winless in 2 home games, scoring 1 goal in Liga 1 – Clausura 2026
- Away form: Alianza Atletico are also winless in 2 away games, conceding 7 goals in 2 games (average 3.50) in Liga 1 – Clausura 2026
- Head-to-head: The last 5 head-to-head fixtures have seen ADT average 0.5 goals at home and Alianza Atletico average 0.5 goals away
Tight game expected as two winless teams face off
The odds set ADT as slight favourites at 2.0 against Alianza Atletico's 3.65 and the draw at 3.35, but we're going to lean towards the visitors on Saturday.
Both sides sit on either side of the halfway mark in the Liga 1 – Clausura 2026 standings with ADT 18th on 1 point from 4 games and Alianza Atletico 10th on 6 points from 4 games.
While Alianza's 3-1 away defeat to Alianza Lima last Saturday will be disappointing, their form in the Clausura had been excellent prior to that with a 3-1 home win over Los Chankas CYC followed by a 1-0 home success over Cienciano Cusco.
ADT's form since the end of June has been patchy with no wins in 5 games (W0, D1, L4), their most recent two results a 0-1 defeat at home to Deportivo Garcilaso and a 1-1 away draw against Universidad Tecnica de Cajamarca.
Tight defensive teams could keep it cagey
Tactical approaches:
Francisco Usucar has made ADT more compact and pragmatic since taking over on 29 June 2026, sitting deep, creating a dense block and letting his side hit on the break. Federico Urciuoli has done the opposite since arriving on 8 December 2025, giving Alianza Atletico a more progressive identity based around width, verticality and collective intensity higher up the pitch. This looks like a classic matchup, but we think Alianza Atletico have enough of the bite in the final third to make this a real tough game and avoid defeat on Saturday.
Players and market angles:
Under 2.5 goals at 1.91 looks like a good fit with two compact, defensive teams and both teams not to score at 2.05 is another sharp angle to take, given that the most recent head-to-head fixture finished 0-0 at Alianza Atletico's home in the Liga 1 – Apertura.
- Jhojan Garcilazo offers a little more bite in the last third with 1 assist in 4 Liga 1 – Clausura 2026 appearances, but it's Jeremy Canela who has been ADT's finishing threat with 2 goals in 4 appearances, scoring 2 of their last 3 goals in the most recent 5-match run.
- Cristian Penilla is Alianza Atletico's main finishing outlet with 1 goal in 4, while Anthony Gordillo has been their most creative player with 2 assists in 4.