- Home form: Bournemouth average 4.17 goals for and 1.17 goals against per match in all competitions at home.
- Away form: Everton average 2.67 goals for and 1.0 against per away match across all competitions.
- Recent trend: Both sides have been involved in plenty of goals lately.
Cherries could be too hot to handle
Everton have been solid across their matches in the new-look Premier League 2026/2027, following up a 1-1 home draw with OSC Lille with a 2-0 win against Crystal Palace in their last outing. David Moyes has set them up compact and pragmatic, playing in a mid-block, controlling the game tempo and structuring up well, but they will face a different test at Bournemouth on Saturday.
Marco Rose's Cherries play with a much more flexible, high-energy game where the team is free to rotate quickly and high press, while Everton will try to slow the game down. The visitors will try to slow the game and nick it from a set piece or transition, but it is the home team who have Everton's number in recent times.
Back Bournemouth to get the better of Toffees
Market and odds
The Cherries are the 1.75 favorites and perhaps rightly so, while the Toffees are 4.2 and the draw is 3.85 ahead of this encounter at Vitality Stadium.
Home and away form
That seems a bit much for an away team with two wins, a draw and three defeats from six away trips across all current competitions, conceding six. Bournemouth are undefeated with four wins and two draws in six at home, so they should be able to nick this.
The market is certainly expecting a few goals, and we're leaning towards the same conclusion with Over 2.5 at 1.7 and Both Teams To Score Yes at 1.67.
Tips the Toffees to score
Bournemouth have been averaging 4.17 goals for and 1.17 against per match at the Vitality Stadium across all comps, and Everton may just nick one here.
- Harrison Armstrong has been a creator in chief for Moyes, providing one assist in one game in Premier League 2026/2027, but Thierno Barry has scored two in his last five for the club – which accounts for a third of their six-goal haul in this campaign.
- We're going for an alternative bet on Bournemouth to win and over 2.5 goals, as that lines up best with the home side's stats.
- But the Toffees will make this matchup closer than the odds suggest and we wouldn't put anyone off taking an Everton goal in the both teams to score bet.
- Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall has one goal in one game in Premier League 2026/2027, so he could be the best pick for an early goal if you are looking to back Everton to find the back of the net on the south coast.
