- Odds: CA Patronato are the favorites to win at 1.77, with the draw coming in at 3.0 and Almagro at 5.08.
- Head-to-head: CA Patronato have won 1 of the last 2 head-to-heads, beating Almagro 1-0 away in Primera Nacional 2026 four months ago.
- Away form: Almagro are winless in their last 2 away matches (D1, L1).
Patronato have the momentum
Recent form
CA Patronato are unbeaten in their last 2 home matches (D2) but they need to get a win in this contest to make progress, having drawn 2-2 at Colegiales, lost 3-0 to Colón and drawn 3-3 at home to Gimnasia Jujuy in their most recent run of five games (D3, L2).
Standings and home record
El Patrón, who are 33rd in Primera Nacional 2026 with 25 points from 25 games, have won 3 of their 12 home fixtures (D6, L3) so far this season, a steady but hardly dominant record that suggests they may be vulnerable when pushing for the win on Sunday.
Manager and tactics
Marcelo Candia took charge of Patronato on 17 April 2026 and his team have been based around organisation and counterpunching, setting up in a compact 3-5-2 or 5-3-2 and looking to nick it on the break or from a set piece.
Almagro are a touch blunt
Position and recent results
Almagro are 23rd in Primera Nacional 2026 with 31 points from 26 matches, so they have just a little bit more than the hosts, although they arrive off a 2-0 away defeat to Deportivo Morón and a 0-0 home draw with Colegiales, indicating they are lacking a bit of a finishing touch.
Style and manager
El Tricolor are a little more structured and like to have the ball, but they can appear a bit blunt in the final third and have averaged just 0.62 goals per match on the road in Primera Nacional 2026.
Carlos Mayor has been in charge since 29 April 2026 and his project is still a work in progress, although his side have failed to win either of their last 2 matches against Patronato in Primera Nacional 2026, which is a worrying statistic ahead of this trip.
Unders and the home team
Betting angle
Patronato are certainly the more likely to edge a cagey contest between two clubs who have a lot of work left to do this season. The head-to-head points towards a home win and the odds also lean that way, but we will stick to the Under 2.5 goals at 1.4 and Both Teams to Score – No at 1.54.
Defence and tactical match-up
Patronato have conceded 14 goals in 12 home fixtures in Primera Nacional 2026 and should be able to hold firm against an Almagro outfit that have conceded an average of 1.54 goals per away match in the division.
This should be a block-vs-build clash, with Patronato happy to sit in and make it difficult, and Almagro hoping to control the match.
Key players
- Walter Rueda is Patronato's main man, with 5 goals in 24 games in Primera Nacional 2026, but 3 of those have come in the last 5.
- Mateo Benegas leads the way for Almagro with 5 goals in 23 matches, so he is their best route to a breakthrough.
