- Home defensive record: Quilmes have conceded just 0.40 goals per game at home in Primera Nacional 2026.
- Head-to-head: Quilmes are winless against Almagro in Primera Nacional 2026.
- Almagro away scoring: Almagro have scored 7 times in 11 away matches in Primera Nacional 2026.
Tight and tense clash awaits
Recent form:
Quilmes Atletico Club enter Saturday's home game with Almagro in mixed form after a run of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games. After a 0-1 home defeat to Colegiales, they followed up with an crazy 3-3 draw away at Patronato de Parana, so the defence have been leaking goals of late.
Tactical matchup:
This is a classic game of styles on paper at least, where Leandro Gracian's shape-first Quilmes set up, which counters well and looks to punch on the break, goes up against Carlos Mayor's more vertical, physical style. His Almagro side have more intensity and are certainly a more pressing team, but they've not quite hit the same level of execution and flow with it yet.
Table positions:
Gracian's men are 26th in Primera Nacional 2026 with 25 points from 22 games, while Almagro are 21st with 29 points from 22 matches. Almagro are the better of the two, but Quilmes have a stronger home record, so we could be on the line for a very close game on Saturday.
Quilmes are the sharper on the road
At home in Primera Nacional 2026, Quilmes have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their 10 matches. That's a good enough foundation to keep them afloat in the table, but it also means that they rarely break opponents open, and average just 1.00 goals scored and 0.40 conceded at Estadio Centenario Dr. Alfredo Fortabat.
That stat tells you that this will be a low-scoring game in all probability, so under 2.5 goals at 1.47 looks a decent fit for this matchup. Both teams to score doesn't seem likely as the hosts are so tight at the back and Almagro have scored just 7 times in their 11 away games in Primera Nacional 2026, where they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats.
Hosts could edge a tight affair
Almagro have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, so they are in better form than Quilmes ahead of Saturday's game. They beat Atlanta 3-1 away from home, before drawing 1-1 at home with CA Ferrocarril Midland, so they do have enough punch in their team to hurt opponents.
Almagro are unbeaten in the last 3 head-to-head matchups in Primera Nacional 2026, whereas the visitors haven't won a home game against Almagro. The odds of 1.55 make Quilmes the clear favorites, but we think a slight risk on Almagro at 7.0 is more attractive, while the draw at 3.4 is a little too high. So, we're going with a Quilmes win or a very tight draw, which seems the likeliest outcome to this game.
- Agustin Lavezzi is Quilmes' top scorer in Primera Nacional 2026 with 6 goals in 22 appearances, while Aaron Spetale has added 2 of their 6 goals across the last 5 games, so he could be a timely addition to the scoring record.
- The main man in front of goal for Almagro is Mateo Benegas, who has 5 goals in 21 Primera Nacional 2026 games, so he's their sharpest finisher.
