- Team form: Castellon are in poor form, winless in 5 (D2, L3), but they are tough to break down.
- Recent form: Almeria have a strong recent record, winning 3 of their last 5 matches and scoring 9 goals.
- Head-to-head: Almeria haven’t won their last trip to Castellon, and this suggests a psychological hurdle.
Almeria’s promotion push is back on track
Recent results
Having bounced back from a 2-0 away defeat to Real Zaragoza with a convincing 3-1 win away to SD Huesca last time out, Almeria enter this LaLiga 2 matchday sitting 3rd with 55 points from 31 games, while Castellon occupy 6th with 51 points from 32.
Significance
With just 4 points separating the two sides in the promotion shake-up, this clash could have a significant bearing on their chances of reaching the top-flight, and it will test the visitors’ ability to control the tempo and open up stubborn defensive units.
Style and key player
Rubi’s Almeria have played with patience and discipline in their build-up since he took charge in July 2024, and they are a real force to be reckoned with from their creative set-piece routines and positional dominance. Sergio Arribas has been their talisman, netting 18 goals in LaLiga 2 this season, 4 in the last 5 games.
Almeria to outplay Castellon in an open game
Pablo Hernandez’s Castellon side have been far more pragmatic in their approach since he joined the club in September 2025. They have been compact and disciplined in their low-to-mid defensive blocks and have made a real speciality of transitioning quickly to hit their opponents on the counter.
They’ve had more success than Rubi’s men in the LaLiga 2, with 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats at home, but their form has dipped recently and they’re without a win in the last 5. Whilst Almeria have won 6, drawn 5 and lost 5 on the road, this match will give us a better idea of what kind of game Almeria like to play and if they can maintain their momentum on the road.
The final third talent could tip it for the away side
Ousmane Nana Camara leads Castellon’s scoring charts with 9 goals in 25 games, and Alex Calatrava has stepped up to the plate in recent weeks with 2 goals in Castellon’s last 5. Both of these players are more than capable of causing Almeria’s defence problems, but Almeria’s superior final third quality should see them edge out Castellon in what should be an entertaining game.
Backing Almeria to win at 3.8 is the main selection here, while Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score are good odds at 1.57 and 1.5 respectively. Castellon have conceded an average of 1.20 goals per home game in LaLiga 2, Almeria have scored 1.44 and conceded 1.31 on average on their travels, so it would be no surprise to see both defences breached and the goal total go over 2.5 here.
