- Head-to-head: Chelsea have won three of the last five meetings between these teams in the FA Cup and other current competitions (Leeds one, one draw). Chelsea have won four of their last five matches, while Leeds United have won just three of their last five (one draw, one defeat). Leeds have failed to win any of their last three away matches against Chelsea (one defeat, two draws).
Chelsea looking to avoid EFL Cup embarrassment
Odds and outlook
Chelsea are 1.62 favorites to see off Leeds United in the EFL Cup 2026-2027 at Stamford Bridge on Wednesday, but the Whites are a tempting alternative at 4.95 with the draw at 3.95 when the Blues are considered.
Recent form
Xabi Alonso's side have won two of their two home games in the 2026-2027 season, beating Luton Town 2-0 in the EFL Cup and Brighton 4-3 in a Premier League game where they were behind with ten minutes to go. The Blues are in good overall form, having won four of their last five and strung together four straight wins on the bounce.
Leeds United have won their last two away games, beating Nottingham Forest in both the Premier League and EFL Cup, and their only slip up came in the 1-1 draw at home to Brentford last weekend. United have won six of their ten matches in all competitions, drawn one and lost three, and they're capable of being a tough opponent for anyone if they're at their best.
Leeds could make this competitive
Leeds are a good value alternative to the favorites, but we're keen on a Chelsea win to nil, as the price looks good and the matchup suits it best.
Alonso's Blues like to have the ball and also have width from wing-backs and flexible shapes that can go from a back three to a back four in one movement. Daniel Farke has the Whites pressing with triggers and breaking fast in transition with pace on the flanks as a real outlet.
- Chelsea's home record across all competitions reads five wins and two defeats, while Leeds have three wins and two losses on the road, so we're not expecting the visitors to get run ragged here.
- Alonso's men can dominate the ball and trap Leeds with the Chelsea counter-pressing style, while Leeds will look to nick turnovers and hit quickly behind the line.
- Joao Pedro is on fire for Chelsea with five goals in his last five appearances, accounting for five of his side's 13 goals in that period, so he is our pick to score anytime.
