- Home form: The home team has won one of their last five games (W1, D1, L3).
- Visitors form: The visiting team is unbeaten in their last five (W3, D2).
Mitre are the favourites at 2.32, but the draw at 2.7 looks good, as does Almirante Brown at 3.36
Match context
Club Atletico Mitre, currently 30th in Primera Nacional 2026 with 21 points from 21 matches, is facing Almirante Brown de Lules, 11th with 31 points from 21, on Sunday. That makes the visitors the sharper side on paper, but we're going to favor the visiting side for this clash based on their unbeaten run of three wins and two draws in their last five matches across all competitions, as well as the form book from this fixture.
Head-to-head
Almirante Brown beat Mitre 3-1 in the reverse fixture four weeks ago, but that result will do little to comfort the visitors as they head to a place where they haven't won in their last two visits and have won just one of the last two meetings overall.
Home side form and tactics
Mitre have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five, and they're coming off a draw with All Boys (1-1, home) and a 3-0 loss to Club Atletico Estudiantes (away) going into this fixture. Cristian Mazzon's side lack structure, with their direct, two-striker setup and fast transitions letting them down in recent weeks, while their record at home in Primera Nacional 2026 reads W4, D2, L4, with just 12 goals scored in 10 games.
Visitors form and tactics
Almirante Brown's unbeaten run was built on draws, away to All Boys (1-1) and at home to Club Atletico Estudiantes (0-0), so they do arrive here on a two-game draw streak. Andres Montenegro has strengthened his side by making their shape more compact and adding more balance to their back four, while their build-up play is more dangerous thanks to their wider set-up.
Marcos Machado is the man to watch for Mitre
Marcos Machado is Mitre's main goal threat with eight goals in 21 Primera Nacional 2026 appearances this term.
- He's found the net in each of Mitre's last three goals across their last five, so he looks a strong anytime scorer option for Sunday.
- Javier Martinez leads the way for Almirante Brown with three goals in 16 Primera Nacional 2026 games, but he's also found the scoresheet twice in Almirante's last five, making him a decent anytime scorer bet this weekend.
Almirante Brown can nick it
Under 2.5 goals at 1.3 is a fair price for what looks like a cagey, tight game on paper, while Both Teams To Score – No at 1.5 also appeals for a close game.
However, we think that the contrast in styles and the fact that Mitre's structure can easily unravel if they are pressed into making quick turnovers should suit Almirante Brown more than the hosts. The two sides do look well matched, but we think the sharp visitors can get a goal or at least avoid defeat on Sunday.
